Delhi-NCR rain forecast: IMD predicts thunderstorms June 22–25, AQI stays 'poor'
Synopsis
Key Takeaways
Residents of Delhi and the National Capital Region (NCR) may get brief relief from oppressive heat as the India Meteorological Department (IMD) has forecast light showers and thunderstorms across the region between 22 June and 25 June. Despite the incoming weather activity, Delhi's air quality index (AQI) remained firmly in the 'poor' category on 22 June, with several monitoring stations logging readings above 200.
Temperature Forecast for Delhi-NCR
On 22 June, the maximum temperature in Delhi is expected to hover around 37 degrees Celsius, with a minimum of 27 degrees Celsius. Similar conditions are forecast for 23 June, with temperatures ranging between 26 and 37 degrees Celsius.
By 24 June and 25 June, the mercury is expected to climb back to 38 degrees Celsius during the day, while overnight lows are likely to remain between 26 and 27 degrees Celsius. Partly cloudy skies are anticipated across the region through this period, reducing the risk of severe heat stress. Neighbouring cities including Noida, Gurugram, and Ghaziabad are also expected to experience gusty winds and isolated showers driven by an active weather system over northern India.
On the preceding Sunday, Delhi recorded a maximum of 38.9 degrees Celsius — 0.3 degrees above the seasonal average — while the minimum settled at 28.8 degrees Celsius, 0.8 degrees higher than normal, according to IMD data.
Monsoon Delay and Rainfall Deficit
Crucially, meteorologists have clarified that the ongoing spells of rain and thunderstorms over Delhi are not associated with the southwest monsoon. These events are being triggered by western disturbances affecting northern parts of the country — a distinction that matters for agriculture and water planning.
Under normal circumstances, the southwest monsoon arrives in Delhi around 27 June. This year, however, forecasters believe its onset in the capital may be pushed to early July. In 2025, the monsoon had reached Delhi on 29 June, two days behind its normal date. The advance has been slower than usual nationally as well, with cities including Mumbai — whose normal onset date is 8 June — still reportedly awaiting the monsoon's arrival.
The delay is compounding an already worrying rainfall deficit. According to IMD data, India recorded only 51.5 mm of rainfall between 1 June and 19 June, against a long-period average of 86.7 mm for the same window — a shortfall of 41.1 per cent. Delhi's own June rainfall picture is equally stark: the city received just 22.7 mm between 1 June and 20 June, compared to 88.01 mm during the same period last year. The normal June rainfall for Delhi stands at 74.1 mm.
Air Quality Across Delhi Stations
Delhi's air quality offered little comfort alongside the weather outlook. Wazirpur recorded the highest AQI at 261, followed closely by Anand Vihar at 260 and IIT Delhi at 240. Ashok Vihar logged 233, while DTU recorded 221.
Other stations in the 'poor' band included Pusa (212), Sonia Vihar (210), R K Puram (205), Mandir Marg (200), JNU (198), Mundka (197), Nehru Nagar (194), Cantonment Area (193), Bawana (191), Chandni Chowk (191), Jawaharlal Nehru Stadium (182), and Aya Nagar (171). An AQI between 201 and 300 is classified as 'poor' and can cause discomfort to most people, particularly those with respiratory conditions.
What to Watch
With the monsoon's Delhi arrival likely slipping to early July and a national rainfall deficit already at 41.1 per cent, the coming days will be closely watched by both weather agencies and agricultural planners. Any further delay could intensify pressure on kharif sowing timelines across northern and central India.