What Decisions Did the RBI MPC Make Regarding Rates and Economic Projections?
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Synopsis
The Reserve Bank of India has made significant monetary policy decisions that could impact the economy. With the repo rate held steady and GDP projections raised, this announcement comes amidst a backdrop of strong domestic growth and declining inflation. Discover the implications of these changes and what they mean for the Indian economy.
Key Takeaways
- Repo rate maintained at 5.50 percent.
- GDP growth forecast raised to 6.8 percent for FY 2025-26.
- CPI inflation forecast lowered to 2.6 percent.
- Measures to promote Indian Rupee in international trade.
- Positive trends in equity markets observed.
New Delhi, Oct 1 (NationPress) The Reserve Bank of India (RBI) unveiled a series of reform-driven initiatives following the conclusion of its monetary policy committee (MPC) meeting, which commenced on September 29 and wrapped up on Wednesday.
Key highlights from the RBI MPC include:
- To foster economic momentum while maintaining financial stability, the RBI opted to keep the repo rate steady at 5.50 percent.
- Amidst robust domestic growth fueled by strong consumption, increased investments, and governmental spending, alongside beneficial factors like a favorable monsoon and GST 2.0, the central bank has revised India's GDP growth projection for FY 2025-26 upwards to 6.8 percent, an increase from the prior estimate of 6.5 percent.
- The RBI has adjusted its CPI inflation forecast for FY 2025-26 down to 2.6 percent from 3.1 percent. The headline consumer price index (CPI) inflation has decreased for nine consecutive months, hitting an 8-year low of 1.6 percent in July 2025, before slightly rising to 2.1 percent in August, still within the RBI's inflation target range.
- The RBI plans to implement strategies to promote broader utilization of the Indian Rupee and local currencies in international trade transactions. Authorized Dealer banks in India and their foreign branches may be allowed to lend in Indian currency to residents of Bhutan, Nepal, and Sri Lanka.
- In the face of global trade uncertainties, India's merchandise exports increased by 2.5 percent (April–August 2025) while imports saw a growth of 2.1 percent. Services exports continued to exhibit double-digit growth, and in Q1 FY 2025-26, real exports and imports of goods and services grew by 6.3 percent and 10.9 percent, respectively.
- The RBI's governing body noted that from April to September of FY 2025-26 (up to September 26), Indian equity markets have consistently trended upwards.
Point of View
It is crucial to monitor the RBI's decisions, as they play a significant role in shaping India's economic future. The latest MPC meeting reflects a measured approach to maintaining stability while promoting growth. This balance is essential for fostering investor confidence and ensuring sustainable development across the nation.
NationPress
01/10/2025
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the current repo rate set by the RBI?
The RBI has kept the repo rate unchanged at 5.50 percent.
What is the revised GDP growth forecast for India?
The GDP growth forecast for FY 2025-26 has been revised upwards to 6.8 percent.
What is the CPI inflation forecast for FY 2025-26?
The CPI inflation forecast has been lowered to 2.6 percent.
How have India's exports performed recently?
India's merchandise exports increased by 2.5 percent from April to August 2025.
What measures is the RBI taking regarding the Indian Rupee?
The RBI plans to facilitate broader use of the Indian Rupee in international trade transactions.