FPI selling hits ₹53,337 crore in October as Brent crude stays above $100
Synopsis
Key Takeaways
Foreign portfolio investors (FPIs) have offloaded a net ₹53,337 crore worth of Indian equities through exchanges in October 2025 so far, as elevated Brent crude prices above $100 a barrel continue to weigh on market sentiment and the broader economy, analysts said. The selling pressure shows little sign of abating as long as global energy costs remain at current levels.
FPI Outflows and IPO Market Activity
While exchange-based selling has been heavy, net FPI investment through the IPO market during the same period stands at ₹5,281 crore, offering a partial offset. The cumulative FPI selling through exchanges for 2025 has now reached ₹3,69,164 crore, according to Dr VK Vijayakumar, Chief Investment Strategist at Geojit Investments Ltd. That figure underscores how sustained the foreign outflow cycle has been across the calendar year.
FIIs Net Sellers for 10th Straight Week
Foreign Institutional Investors (FIIs) remained net sellers for the tenth consecutive week through the week ended 23 October. However, analysts noted a meaningful moderation in selling intensity — FIIs even turned buyers on two days during that week. Three factors contributed to this shift: a decline in the US 10-year Treasury yield from 5.36% to around 5%, an appreciation of the rupee to ₹84.94 to the dollar, and relatively low valuations in large-cap stocks. This is a notable, if tentative, shift in momentum after weeks of unrelenting outflows.
Mid- and Small-Cap Rout Deepens
A defining market event of the week was the sharp correction in broader indices. The Nifty Mid-cap 100 plunged 5.6% and the Nifty Small-cap 100 crashed 7.3%, while the Nifty 50 showed relative resilience with a decline of only 2.35%. Analysts attributed the steeper fall in mid- and small-caps to forced liquidation of margin-funded long positions in the broader market — a dynamic that can quickly amplify routine selling into a sharper rout. This is not unprecedented: similar patterns emerged during risk-off episodes in 2022 and early 2024.
Large-Caps Cushioned by DII Buying
The relative stability of large-cap stocks has been underpinned by Domestic Institutional Investors (DIIs), which are reportedly flush with funds and have been systematically accumulating fairly valued large-caps. This DII-FII tug of war has become a recurring feature of Indian equity markets, providing a structural buffer that was largely absent a decade ago.
Crude Oil Remains the Key Risk
High crude prices are acting as a strong headwind for both the economy and financial markets, analysts warned. With Brent crude staying above $100 a barrel, import bills rise, the current account deficit widens, and inflationary pressures build — a combination that historically prompts FPIs to reduce exposure to emerging markets such as India. The steady moderation in FII selling offers some comfort, but elevated crude and sharp broader-market weakness keep downside risks alive. All eyes will be on Brent crude's trajectory and US bond yield movements in the weeks ahead.