Why Did Silver and Gold Prices Plummet This Week?
Synopsis
Key Takeaways
Mumbai, Jan 31 (NationPress) This week witnessed a significant drop in gold and silver prices, driven by a stronger dollar and aggressive profit-taking by investors after a remarkable surge in metal prices. MCX February gold futures fell by 9%, while MCX March silver futures plunged 25% on Friday. Currently, gold futures are priced at Rs 1,49,075, and silver futures at Rs 2,91,922 per kg.
The cost of 10 grams of 24-carat gold now stands at Rs 1,65,795, down from Rs 1,75,340 from the previous day's close, as reported by the India Bullion and Jewellers Association (IBJA).
The decline in precious metals is attributed to US President Donald Trump's nomination of Kevin Warsh as the next chair of the Federal Reserve, which contributed to a rebound in the US dollar.
Experts suggest that Warsh's hawkish approach to inflation and focus on Fed independence could mean less support for lower interest rates, triggering selling among precious metals traders.
Analysts commented, "The US dollar strengthened, real yields increased, and leveraged positions in gold and silver, seen as overextended hedges against debasement, were rapidly unwound. This led to a sharp liquidation, wiping out billions in market value and flushing out weaker traders during a classic euphoria-to-exhaustion cycle rather than indicating a structural bear market reversal."
Nonetheless, they assert that long-term bullish sentiment remains due to persistent structural supply deficits and strong industrial demand. The continuous accumulation of gold by central banks, alongside silver's supply challenges amidst rising industrial needs in green energy, electric vehicles, artificial intelligence, and electronics, supports this positive outlook.
Market analysts believe that this correction is a necessary adjustment, removing excess leverage and speculative excesses, thereby positioning the market for more sustainable growth once sentiment stabilizes.
Regarding silver, they noted that the convergence of industrial demand maintains its relative strength potential, indicating that a dip to the Rs 3 lakh to Rs 3.10 lakh range could ignite renewed buying interest, potentially driving prices to Rs 3,40,000 to Rs 3,50,000.
aar/na