India forex reserves surge $7.26 billion to $674.19 billion in week to July 3
Synopsis
Key Takeaways
India's foreign exchange reserves climbed by $7.26 billion to $674.193 billion in the week ended 3 July 2025, reversing a decline from the prior reporting period, according to data released by the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) on Friday, 10 July. The rebound underscores the resilience of India's external buffer even as global currency markets remain volatile.
Weekly Breakdown of Reserve Components
The value of India's gold reserves rose by $2.669 billion to reach $105.205 billion during the reporting week, reflecting both valuation gains and continued accumulation. The country's holdings of Special Drawing Rights (SDRs) with the International Monetary Fund (IMF) also edged up by $65 million to $18.623 billion.
Context: Reversal After Prior Week's Dip
The uptick follows a contraction in the preceding week, when reserves fell by $5.65 billion to $666.93 billion in the week ended 26 June. Despite this recent volatility, India's reserves rank among the highest globally. However, they remain below the all-time record of $728.494 billion reached in the week ended 27 February 2025 — a gap of roughly $54 billion that analysts say reflects RBI intervention to stabilise the rupee over intervening months.
FCNR-B Scheme Driving Fresh NRI Inflows
Alongside the headline reserves data, Indian banks are reporting a gradual pick-up in overseas fund flows following the rollout of the RBI's revised Foreign Currency Non-Resident Bank (FCNR-B) deposit scheme. The banking sector has mobilised an estimated $3–4 billion through the scheme so far, according to reports, with lenders expecting collections to accelerate further this month as awareness grows among non-resident Indians (NRIs).
Bankers project the revised scheme could attract $40–50 billion in fresh FCNR-B deposits over time. Two key factors are cited: higher interest rates on offer and the RBI's decision to absorb banks' hedging costs — a structural sweetener that lowers the effective cost of participation for depositors.
Gulf Region Seen as Key Contributor
Banks have intensified outreach efforts across major overseas markets to raise awareness of the revised FCNR-B scheme. The Gulf region is expected to contribute a disproportionate share of incremental deposits, driven by the large Indian expatriate workforce based in countries such as the UAE, Saudi Arabia, and Kuwait. Bankers say inflows from the Gulf are likely to gather pace in the coming weeks as engagement campaigns reach more NRI customers.
This comes amid a broader RBI strategy to bolster the external account through non-debt inflows and diaspora savings — a playbook India has used during previous periods of rupee pressure. The combination of a strengthening reserve position and rising FCNR-B momentum could provide the RBI with greater room to manage exchange rate volatility in the months ahead.