Indian Equity Markets Exhibit Strong Resilience Despite FII Withdrawals
Synopsis
Key Takeaways
New Delhi, March 22 (NationPress) The Indian equity markets are showcasing remarkable structural resilience despite significant global macroeconomic challenges and outflows from foreign institutional investors (FIIs), as per analysts' observations.
In the week concluding on March 20, a notable risk-off sentiment among FIIs led to net outflows of Rs 29,718.9 crore.
This withdrawal, along with a strengthening US Dollar index, exerted pressure on the Indian rupee, pushing it to a provisional record low of 93.71.
“Surprisingly, the Nifty 50 upheld its strength, finishing at 23,114.50 (+0.49 percent), as domestic institutional investors (DIIs) stepped in with robust net purchases of Rs 30,269.23 crore,” stated Vinit Bolinjkar, Head of Research at Ventura.
The markets concluded the week on a mostly flat note with a slight negative bias, reflecting a prevailing caution among market participants. The initial three sessions exhibited a positive tone; however, a sudden drop on Thursday negated the gains, followed by a tumultuous final session.
As a result, Nifty dipped 0.16 percent to close at 23,114.50, while Sensex fell 0.04 percent to 74,532.96.
In the early sessions, sentiment was buoyed by a partial resumption of vessel movement through the Strait of Hormuz.
“Nevertheless, renewed geopolitical tensions due to Israel’s attack on Iran’s energy infrastructure drove crude oil prices back towards recent peaks near $119 per barrel. While prices slightly moderated post this spike, they remain high,” noted Ajit Mishra, SVP of Research at Religare Broking Ltd.
Additionally, the ongoing weakness of the rupee against the US dollar and muted global market signals, especially from the US, contributed to the pressure.
This situation was mirrored in the ongoing FII outflows observed throughout the week.
Given the fragile market sentiment, persistent FII outflows, and the global uncertainties, investors are advised to adopt a cautious and selective strategy. Focus should be on fundamentally strong large-cap stocks and sectors with stable earnings visibility, according to analysts.
While Brent crude remains unstable around $107 per barrel due to West Asian tensions, the stabilization of the India VIX at 22.81 indicates the potential formation of a market base.
“We maintain a range-bound outlook between 22,800 and 23,300, with a positive bias reliant on the stabilization of global energy prices and a reduction in currency volatility,” commented market observers.