Muthoot Finance shares fall 8% on weak Q4 metrics, customer decline
Synopsis
Key Takeaways
Muthoot Finance shares dropped over 8 per cent on Friday, 15 May after the gold loan non-banking financial company (NBFC) posted a mixed March quarter performance — strong profit growth overshadowed by falling active customers, declining gold tonnage, and rising asset quality concerns.
Market Reaction
On the BSE, the stock hit an intraday low of ₹3,242.20, down 8.12 per cent, before paring some losses to trade at ₹3,290 — still 6.77 per cent below its previous close. The stock has now declined more than 10 per cent year-to-date and around 8 per cent over the past one month. Its 52-week high stands at ₹4,149, while its 52-week low is ₹2,028.10 on the BSE.
Key Operational Concerns
The quarterly report flagged a 2 per cent quarter-on-quarter decline in active customers — the second consecutive quarter of weakness in the low-ticket borrower segment. Gold tonnage, a closely watched indicator of the quantity of gold pledged by customers, fell 4 per cent sequentially to 196 tonnes during the quarter. Analysts noted that these operational metrics signal stress at the base of Muthoot's lending pyramid, where smaller borrowers are either exiting or not renewing loans.
Financial Performance: The Other Side
Despite the operational headwinds, Muthoot Finance delivered robust headline financials. Standalone net interest income surged to ₹5,194 crore, while net profit stood at ₹3,086 crore. Gold loan assets under management (AUM) jumped 50 per cent year-on-year to ₹1,54,084 crore, and net interest margin improved sequentially to 13.38 per cent from 12.77 per cent. However, asset quality concerns persisted, with impairments rising alongside the customer attrition trend.
Jefferies Cuts Target Price
Global brokerage Jefferies responded by trimming its target price on the stock by 8 per cent — a cut of ₹400 — to ₹4,350 from ₹4,750. The revision reflects concern that the operational deterioration could weigh on future earnings growth even if near-term margins remain elevated. This comes amid a broader regulatory environment where the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) has been tightening norms around gold loan NBFCs.
Dividend Declared
Earlier in April, Muthoot Finance's board approved its highest-ever interim dividend of ₹30 per equity share for FY26, translating to a payout at 300 per cent of face value — a signal of balance-sheet confidence even as operational metrics soften. The dividend approval was disclosed via an exchange filing.
With borrower attrition accelerating and a top brokerage cutting its target, the near-term trajectory of the stock will likely hinge on whether management can reverse the customer decline in the June quarter.