How is Rural Demand Performing in India for April-June?

Synopsis
Key Takeaways
- Rural demand outpaces urban consumption.
- E-commerce growth is significant in rural areas.
- Small manufacturers are gaining market share.
- Inflation easing supports economic activity.
- Favorable monsoon forecasts boost consumer confidence.
New Delhi, Aug 14 (NationPress) The recent decline in inflation combined with a favorable monsoon has significantly increased rural demand in India during the April-June timeframe this year, surpassing urban consumption once more, as highlighted in a recent report.
The analysis from global research firm NielsenIQ indicates that rural markets and smaller manufacturers played a crucial role in advancing the packaged consumer goods sector in Q2 2025.
Rural sectors expanded at a rate twice that of urban areas, where signs of recovery are particularly evident in smaller towns.
The report also notes a considerable surge in e-commerce, driven by greater shopper engagement and spending, especially in the home and personal care sectors.
Growth in home and personal care (HPC) volumes is outpacing food categories, with smaller brands expanding at a rate quicker than that of the FMCG sector.
Sharang Pant, head of FMCG customer success at NielsenIQ, mentioned that with inflation subsiding and promising monsoon forecasts, the outlook for consumption appears bright.
While urban recovery is gaining momentum, especially in smaller towns, rural demand remains a fundamental factor in volume growth, he added.
In Q2 2025, sales increased by 13.9 percent in value compared to the previous year, rising from 11 percent in the earlier quarter.
During Q1 2025 (January-March), the Indian FMCG sector recorded an 11 percent year-on-year growth, attributed to a 5.1 percent rise in volume alongside a 5.6 percent increase in prices.
Notably, a greater unit growth compared to volume growth indicates a shift in consumer preferences towards smaller packaging.
“Interestingly, smaller players are gaining traction due to a low baseline and evolving market dynamics, although their long-term growth potential remains uncertain,” stated Roosevelt Dsouza, APAC Head of Customer Success – FMCG, NielsenIQ India.
The Reserve Bank of India (RBI) has reported that private consumption, bolstered by rural demand, alongside fixed investment driven by robust government capital expenditure, continues to fuel economic activity.
“The above-normal southwest monsoon, reduced inflation, increasing capacity utilization, and favorable financial conditions are sustaining domestic economic momentum. Supportive monetary, regulatory, and fiscal policies, along with strong government capital expenditure, are expected to further enhance demand,” remarked RBI Governor Sanjay Malhotra following the recent MPC meeting.