Rising Temperatures in Tamil Nadu: El Nino Threatens Monsoon and Water Supply
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Chennai, March 25 (NationPress) As the peak summer season approaches, Tamil Nadu is preparing for soaring temperatures starting Thursday, with the Regional Meteorological Centre predicting a steady rise in heat levels over the coming days.
The latest weather report indicates that dry conditions will dominate Tamil Nadu and Puducherry until Friday, with minimal rainfall expected across most regions. However, light, isolated showers may occur in the hilly areas of Coimbatore and the Nilgiris on Friday.
From Saturday onward, moderate precipitation is forecasted in several districts along the Western Ghats for a duration of three days, providing limited respite from the escalating heat.
The weather agency has stated that while maximum temperatures are expected to remain close to normal on Wednesday, they could rise by as much as 3 degrees Celsius in the following three days. In Chennai and its surrounding areas, no rain is anticipated, with daytime temperatures likely reaching around 34 degrees Celsius, all while dry weather prevails.
Experts alert that the state might encounter an exceptionally hot summer this year, influenced by global climate changes and the potential emergence of a robust El Nino phenomenon.
M. Rajeevan, former Secretary of the Ministry of Earth Sciences, has warned that current climate indicators suggest a strong possibility of El Nino developing during the next monsoon season, with signs pointing towards its intensification.
He emphasized that, despite existing uncertainties, a more definitive evaluation is anticipated by May 2026, urging authorities to stay alert and take necessary precautionary steps.
El Nino events are known to disrupt India's monsoon patterns, particularly affecting the Northeast Monsoon, which is vital for Tamil Nadu's yearly rainfall.
A strong El Nino could lead to delays or a diminishment of these rains, escalating the risk of extended dry spells and water shortages. Such a situation could exert considerable pressure on reservoirs supplying drinking water to Chennai and nearby locales. In agricultural regions like the Cauvery delta, diminished rainfall could negatively impact crop cycles and yields, while an increased reliance on groundwater may further deplete already stressed aquifers, raising alarming concerns regarding long-term water security.