Sensex, Nifty close higher as RBI holds repo rate at 5.25%
Synopsis
Key Takeaways
Indian equity benchmarks ended Wednesday's session marginally in the green after the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) held the benchmark repo rate steady at 5.25 per cent and maintained its neutral policy stance, a decision that broadly matched market expectations. The BSE Sensex settled 152.05 points, or 0.19 per cent, higher at 78,581.00, while the Nifty50 edged up 9.75 points, or 0.04 per cent, to close at 24,624.65.
RBI Policy: Key Takeaways for Markets
The central bank retained its growth projection for the economy, forecasting India's gross domestic product (GDP) growth at 6.7 per cent for the current financial year. Notably, the RBI also trimmed its headline inflation forecast marginally to 5 per cent from an earlier estimate of 5.1 per cent — a slight relief for inflation-sensitive sectors. The policy outcome, while largely anticipated, reinforced a stable macroeconomic backdrop that kept investor sentiment from turning negative.
Market Breadth and Sectoral Performance
Broader markets outperformed the headline indices on the day. The Nifty MidCap index closed 0.18 per cent higher, while the Nifty SmallCap index advanced a more robust 0.7 per cent, signalling continued appetite for risk in the mid-and-small cap space. Sectoral performance was mixed. The Nifty Metal index led gains, followed by the Nifty Realty and Nifty Auto indices. Banking counters, however, remained under pressure — the Nifty Private Bank and Nifty Bank indices both ended lower and were the session's primary laggards.
Top Gainers and Individual Movers
Among individual Nifty constituents, Shriram Finance, Grasim Industries, and JSW Steel emerged as the top gainers, providing crucial support to the benchmark indices. Their outperformance helped offset the drag from banking stocks, which faced selling pressure in the wake of the rate hold.
Technical Outlook: Key Levels to Watch
Analysts flagged 24,500 as the immediate downside support for the Nifty, with the 24,400–24,300 zone forming the next line of defence. From a derivatives standpoint, the 24,600 strike carries the highest Call Open Interest, which analysts say explains the repeated resistance the index has encountered at that level. The 24,500 and 24,400 strikes hold the strongest Put OI concentration, underpinning the support base. 'A sustained close above 24,600 is required to confirm renewed bullish momentum. Until then, the index is likely to remain range-bound, with 24,500–24,300 acting as the key support corridor,' one market expert noted. This comes amid a broader pattern of consolidation that has gripped frontline indices over recent sessions, with investors awaiting fresh domestic or global catalysts to drive a decisive breakout.