Rain threat casts shadow over Day 4 of SL vs IND 2nd Test in Colombo
Synopsis
With India needing just two wickets and Sri Lanka on the ropes at 265/8, a 97 per cent rain probability in Colombo on Day 4 could be the only thing standing between India and a commanding Test victory. AccuWeather's hourly data shows no clear window all day — making the weather, not the cricket, the decisive factor.
Key Takeaways
AccuWeather forecasts a 97 per cent chance of rain in Colombo on Wednesday, 25 August — Day 4 of the Sri Lanka vs India 2nd Test .
India are strongly placed, having posted 503/9 declared and reduced Sri Lanka to 265/8 in the first innings.
Overnight pair Sonal Dinusha (85) and Lahiru Kumara (8) remain unbeaten for Sri Lanka.
Manav Suthar and Prasidh Krishna each claimed three wickets ; Siraj and Jadeja took one each.
Rain probability remains above 45 per cent across every hour of scheduled play on Day 4.
98 overs are scheduled, but persistent rain could significantly reduce actual play time.
A 97 per cent chance of precipitation on Wednesday, 25 August threatens to derail Day 4 of the Sri Lanka vs India 2nd Test in Colombo, with AccuWeather forecasting 'periods of rain' that could deny India a victory they appear well-placed to secure. The weather disruption follows stoppages that cut short Day 3 as well, with stumps called early in the final session.
India's Commanding Position
India posted a mammoth 503/9 declared in their first innings and have since reduced Sri Lanka to 265/8, leaving the hosts in a precarious position. The overnight pair of Sonal Dinusha (85) and Lahiru Kumara (8) remain unbeaten, with Dinusha eyeing what would be his second Test century of the series and of his career. Kumara has shown considerable resistance, facing 50 balls for his 8 runs.
Bowling Stars for India
Manav Suthar and Prasidh Krishna have been the standout performers with the ball, each claiming three wickets in the Sri Lanka innings. Mohammed Siraj and Ravindra Jadeja have contributed one wicket apiece. India need just two more wickets to bowl Sri Lanka out, though the follow-on and match outcome will hinge on how much play the weather allows.
Hourly Rain Forecast for Day 4
AccuWeather's hourly breakdown for Colombo on Wednesday offers little comfort for cricket fans. Precipitation probability stands at 85 per cent at 6 AM, easing slightly to 75 per cent at 9 AM — just 45 minutes before the rescheduled start. The probability fluctuates through the day: 49 per cent at 10 AM, rising to 75 per cent at 11 AM, then 68 per cent at noon and 49 per cent at 1 PM. The afternoon offers no clear window either, with 56 per cent at 2 PM, 63 per cent at 3 PM, 45 per cent at 4 PM, 53 per cent at 5 PM, and 45 per cent at 6 PM.
What's at Stake
A total of 98 overs are scheduled for Day 4 under normal conditions. However, with rain already having trimmed play on Day 3, the actual quota bowled could fall well short. India will be pushing hard for a result, but the weather may ultimately have the final say. Notably, Tuesday's 96 per cent precipitation forecast did materialise, costing approximately an hour of play — a pattern that does not bode well for an uninterrupted fourth day.
Point of View
Raising questions about whether the ICC's scheduling of Tests in Colombo during the South Asian monsoon window adequately accounts for the near-certainty of weather disruption. For India, a series-clinching result could slip away not through any failure of skill but through meteorological misfortune — a frustrating footnote if the match ends in a draw.
NationPress
25 Aug 2026
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the rain forecast for Day 4 of the Sri Lanka vs India 2nd Test in Colombo?
AccuWeather forecasts a 97 per cent chance of precipitation in Colombo on Wednesday, 25 August, with 'periods of rain' expected throughout the day. Rain probability remains above 45 per cent across every scheduled hour of play, making significant disruption highly likely.
What is India's current position in the 2nd Test against Sri Lanka?
India are in a dominant position, having declared their first innings at 503/9. They have reduced Sri Lanka to 265/8, needing just two more wickets to bowl the hosts out. The match is being played in Colombo.
Who are the overnight not-out batters for Sri Lanka on Day 4?
Sonal Dinusha, unbeaten on 85, and Lahiru Kumara, on 8 from 50 balls, are the overnight pair for Sri Lanka. Dinusha is targeting his second Test century of the series.
Which Indian bowlers have taken wickets in Sri Lanka's first innings?
Manav Suthar and Prasidh Krishna are the leading wicket-takers with three wickets each. Mohammed Siraj and Ravindra Jadeja have claimed one wicket apiece.
How many overs are scheduled for Day 4 of the Colombo Test?
98 overs are scheduled for Day 4 under normal conditions. However, given the high probability of rain throughout the day, the actual number of overs bowled is expected to be significantly lower.
