India Reports 7.8% GDP Growth for Q3 FY26, Full Year Projected at 7.6%
Synopsis
Key Takeaways
New Delhi, Feb 27 (NationPress) The real GDP growth rate for India during the October-December quarter (Q3) of the fiscal year 2025-26 is projected at 7.8 per cent based on the newly established series that uses 2022-23 as the base year, as reported by the Ministry of Statistics on Friday.
For the entire fiscal year 2025-26, the anticipated annual GDP growth rate is set at 7.6 per cent, an increase from 7.1 per cent for 2024-25, according to the advance estimates released concurrently with the data.
The estimated real GDP is expected to reach Rs 322.58 lakh crore in FY26, compared to the first revised Estimate of GDP for FY25, which was Rs 299.89 lakh crore.
The manufacturing sector has played a crucial role in sustaining the economy's robust performance over three consecutive financial years following the rebasing, showing double-digit growth in both FY 2023-24 and FY 2025-26.
India's economy has demonstrated consistent performance with real GDP growth rates of 7.2 per cent and 7.1 per cent in FY 2023–24 and FY 2024–25, respectively.
The revision of the National Accounts’ Base Year to 2022–23 and the new series of Quarterly GDP estimates incorporate a revised estimation methodology that includes numerous high-frequency indicators and an enhanced deflation strategy designed to accurately reflect economic progress each year. Additionally, improvements in the granularity of estimation have been noted, as per the official statement.
In the earlier advance estimates published in January, based on the previous series, real GDP growth was forecasted at 7.4 per cent for FY 2025-26, up from 6.5 per cent during FY 2024-25.
A significant contributor to this buoyant growth is the services sector, which is experiencing a remarkable growth rate of 9.9 per cent at constant prices in FY 2025-26, particularly in financial services, real estate, professional services, and public administration.
In the secondary sector, manufacturing and construction are estimated to achieve a growth rate of 7 per cent, while the agriculture sector's growth rate is projected at 3.1 per cent.