Vivek Ramaswamy trails Amy Acton in two Ohio polls as attack ad backfires
Synopsis
Key Takeaways
Indian-American Republican Vivek Ramaswamy is trailing Democrat Amy Acton in two separate polls of Ohio's gubernatorial race, with both surveys indicating that his campaign's controversial advertisement featuring Acton's estranged mother has failed to shift voter support in his favour — and may have actively hurt him.
What the Polls Show
A Suffolk University/USA TODAY Network Ohio poll released on Wednesday, 30 October placed Acton at 48% and Ramaswamy at 44%, with Libertarian Don Kissick at 4% and 3% of respondents undecided. The same poll conducted in September had shown Acton ahead by a wider 50% to 41% margin, suggesting the race has tightened but the deficit for Ramaswamy persists.
A second internal poll, commissioned by an unnamed Republican group and obtained by Axios, showed a starker picture. The survey of 800 likely voters, conducted 23–26 October, had Acton at 50% and Ramaswamy at 42% — a widening from a two-point Acton lead of 47% to 45% earlier in the month. The margin of error was 3.46 percentage points.
The Ad and Its Impact
The Suffolk poll found that 72% of likely voters had seen or heard about the advertisement featuring Acton's estranged mother, but fewer than 1% said it shifted them from Acton to Ramaswamy. More damaging: 2% of those aware of the ad said they had previously backed Ramaswamy but now support Acton.
Among voters familiar with the ad, 50% said Ramaswamy had run the more negative campaign, compared with just 15% who said the same of Acton. Among those who had specifically seen the ad, that gap widened to 59% versus 13%. The internal Republican poll's attached memo, as reported by Axios, noted that by a 2-to-1 ratio, those familiar with the ad said it made them more likely to vote for Acton. 86% of respondents in that survey had seen, read or heard about it.
According to Axios, the campaign had committed $4 million to air the ad statewide. 'The candidate is the one pushing for it,' a source close to the campaign reportedly told Axios. A Ramaswamy campaign representative declined to comment to Axios.
Ramaswamy's Counter-Moves
Ramaswamy has defended the ad, arguing that Acton has misrepresented her past. On the campaign trail, he has pivoted to economic issues. On Thursday, he announced what he described as a Day 1 executive order targeting property taxes. 'This morning I announced my Day 1 Executive Order to investigate localities where property taxes have doubled since the pandemic, to give the public transparency that they deserve,' he posted on X.
He has also attacked Acton as 'the candidate who bans recordings at her events and refuses to debate.' In the bellwether county of Portage, which Suffolk tracks closely, the two candidates were tied at 47% each — a sign the contest remains competitive.
Polling Average and What's at Stake
The FiftyPlusOne polling average on Thursday had Acton at 48.2% and Ramaswamy at 45.2%. Voters go to the polls on 3 November. Ramaswamy, the son of immigrants from Kerala, would become Ohio's first Indian-American governor if elected. The outcome is being closely watched as a barometer of how attack-style campaigning plays in a post-Trump Midwest political environment.