South Korea births rise 15.6% in June, 24th straight month of growth
Synopsis
Key Takeaways
South Korea recorded 23,111 births in June 2025, a 15.6 per cent rise from the same month a year earlier — the 24th consecutive month of on-year growth, according to data released Wednesday by the Ministry of Data and Statistics. The growth rate was the highest since the government began compiling birth data in 1981.
Key Figures
The absolute increase of 3,115 births — up from 19,996 in June 2024 to 23,111 — was the largest single-month addition since 1992, when births rose by 3,666. Over the January–June 2025 period, a total of 1,45,804 babies were born, up 15.4 per cent from the same period a year earlier — the highest first-half total since 2019, and both the largest absolute increase and the fastest growth rate on record for a half-year period.
Fertility Rate Still Below Replacement Level
The country's total fertility rate — the average number of children a woman is expected to have over her lifetime — edged up 0.11 points to 0.88 in June. While the uptick is notable, the figure remains far below the 2.1 births per woman required to maintain a stable population without immigration. A government official noted that, given births tend to skew higher in the second half of the year, the annual rate could reach 0.9 in 2025 — though cautioned that a wait-and-see approach remains warranted.
What Is Driving the Recovery
Experts attribute the sustained rise to a rebound in marriages following the end of the pandemic, combined with shifting attitudes toward parenthood. 'The increase in births came as the number of marriages has been recovering since May 2023 following the end of the pandemic, with an increase in the number of women in their 30s,' a ministry official said. Marriages in June jumped 14 per cent on-year to 21,075, reinforcing the link between nuptial trends and birth rates.
Deaths, Divorces, and Natural Population Decline
Despite the birth uptick, South Korea continues to record a natural population decline. Deaths rose 2 per cent on-year to 27,794 in June, resulting in a net natural decline of 4,683 people. Divorces also increased, climbing 13.5 per cent to 7,688 — a figure that analysts say warrants monitoring alongside the marriage recovery data.
What Comes Next
The birth trend has held positive since July 2024, offering the first sustained demographic signal in years that South Korea's population crisis may be stabilising — if not yet reversing. Policymakers and demographers will watch second-half 2025 data closely to determine whether the recovery has structural staying power or remains vulnerable to economic headwinds.