Gold and Silver Prices Decline Amid Robust US Dollar and Inflation Fears
Synopsis
Key Takeaways
Mumbai, March 9 (NationPress) On this Monday, the prices of gold and silver experienced a slight decline due to a robust US dollar and rising inflation expectations. This development has dampened prospects for imminent rate cuts by the US Federal Reserve.
MCX gold futures for April dropped by 0.16 percent, settling at Rs 1,61,380 per 10 grams around 11:10 AM. In contrast, MCX silver futures for May decreased by 1.30 percent, reaching Rs 2,64,799 per kg.
Earlier today, gold futures had seen a dip of 1.1 percent, while silver futures fell by 1.4 percent before witnessing a strong recovery.
The US dollar surged to a three-month peak, climbing to 99.34, which is an increase of 0.36 percent on an intraday basis, making dollar-denominated precious metals more expensive for foreign currency holders.
Analysts noted that the rise in US Treasury yields, with the 10-year bonds hitting a one-month high, has elevated the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding assets like gold and silver.
Additionally, crude oil prices skyrocketed by approximately 27 percent, reaching $116 per barrel, marking the first occurrence since 2022 where both benchmark prices surpassed the $100 threshold. This surge is attributed to escalating tensions in the Middle East and supply disruptions at the Strait of Hormuz.
This situation has heightened inflation concerns, leading traders to anticipate that the US Federal Reserve will maintain steady interest rates following its two-day policy meeting concluding on March 18.
The likelihood of the central bank keeping rates unchanged in June has increased to over 51 percent, up from below 43 percent the previous week.
According to analysts, gold is expected to find support at Rs 1,48,000, while resistance is seen at Rs 1,53,000.
In COMEX Gold, significant buying interest is observed around the $5,000 support level, and a sustained breakout above the $5,400-$5,600 range could pave the way for new record highs.
Despite ongoing volatility, the medium to long-term outlook for silver remains positive, buoyed by favorable global cues from geopolitical circumstances, as noted by a market participant.
aar/na