Why Did Indian Stock Markets Fall 2.2% Amid Tariff Worries?

Synopsis
Key Takeaways
- Indian stock markets declined by over 2.2% this week.
- Profit booking was prevalent in metals, IT, realty, and auto sectors.
- Capital Goods and FMCG sectors showed resilience with modest gains.
- India's Q1 GDP growth reached an impressive 7.8%.
- Investors should monitor US macroeconomic data for future insights.
Mumbai, Aug 30 (NationPress) The Indian stock market experienced a significant downturn this week as the initial positive sentiment was overshadowed by continued selling pressure driven by FII outflows and concerns over US tariffs.
The benchmark indices, Nifty and Sensex, concluded the week with a decline of more than 2.2 percent. Profit booking was particularly noticeable in sectors such as metals, IT, real estate, and automobile, which saw drops ranging from 0.5 percent to 1.5 percent.
On the other hand, sectors like Capital Goods, Consumer Durables, Media, and FMCG managed to post gains between 0.4 percent and 1 percent. The broader markets lagged, with the Nifty Midcap 100 and Nifty Smallcap 100 indices falling by 0.57 percent and 0.39 percent, respectively.
This week began with a positive outlook, spurred by proposed GST rationalization, a favorable monsoon forecast, and global factors such as falling US bond yields and anticipated Fed rate cuts in September.
However, uncertainty increased as the deadline for US penalties approached, leading to widespread selling and three consecutive sessions in the negative territory. Analysts noted that the potential introduction of tariffs on Indian products further eroded market confidence, prompting profit-taking across various sectors.
Vinod Nair, Head of Research at Geojit Investments Limited, stated, "Large-cap stocks dropped, while mid- and small-cap stocks faced even greater declines due to inflated valuations and increasing uncertainty."
Looking ahead, India's impressive Q1 GDP growth, fueled by government expenditure and policy initiatives, could serve as a buffer against external challenges, although fiscal concerns persist. A resolution regarding tariff disputes could enhance market sentiment, but the reciprocal 25 percent tariff is expected to remain in place for the foreseeable future, he added.
Industries that may feel the impact include textiles, equipment manufacturers, metals, automobiles, and seafood. While IT and Pharma sectors might experience sentiment pressure, they are not directly affected by the tariffs.
India's economy exceeded expectations in the April-June 2025 quarter, achieving an impressive 7.8 percent real GDP growth.
“Investors should closely monitor upcoming macroeconomic data from both domestic and US sources, including PMI figures, jobless claims, payrolls, and unemployment statistics for further insights,” Nair added.
According to Bajaj Broking research, “The Nifty has immediate support levels at 24,400-24,350, coinciding with recent lows and key retracement zones. If the index stays above this level, it can consolidate within the 24,400-24,900 range.”
The market is anticipated to exhibit a mixed trend in the near term. Analysts believe sectors centered on consumption and domestic growth, including FMCG, Durables, Discretionary, Cement, and Infrastructure, are poised to benefit from GST cuts, strong demand, and increased government investment.
aar/na