Is India's Q1 GDP Growth Transforming It into the Fastest-Growing Major Economy?

Synopsis
Key Takeaways
- India's GDP growth for Q1 FY26 is 7.8 percent.
- India is the fastest-growing major economy globally.
- Challenges include geopolitical tensions and US tariffs.
- Low inflation provides policymakers with flexibility.
- Key sectors showing growth include agriculture, manufacturing, and construction.
New Delhi, Aug 30 (NationPress) The latest gross domestic product (GDP) growth projections for the initial quarter of the current fiscal year (FY26) stand at 7.8 percent, positioning India as the fastest-growing nation among major global economies, according to Sanjeev Sanyal, a member of Prime Minister Narendra Modi's Economic Advisory Council (EAC).
"The recently released GDP estimate for Q1 2025-26 shows a growth rate of 7.8 percent, which is impressive by any benchmark. This firmly establishes us as the fastest-growing major economy worldwide," Sanyal remarked during an interview with IANS.
However, Sanyal anticipates some challenges to the GDP growth trajectory moving forward, particularly arising from geopolitical tensions, such as concerns over US tariffs.
"Looking forward, there are undoubtedly some friction points. A significant issue is the US tariffs that were implemented just last week, coupled with the overall climate of global uncertainty," Sanyal pointed out.
Despite these concerns, the economist notes that favorable macroeconomic indicators, including a decline in inflation, provide policymakers with ample leeway to tackle potential hurdles.
"The silver lining is that Indian policymakers possess considerable flexibility to address external shocks. Inflation is currently low, sitting at the lower end of the 2-6 percent range set by the Monetary Policy Committee. Moreover, our external accounts are stable," Sanyal elaborated.
"In light of these factors, I would assert that policymakers are well-positioned to implement expansionary macroeconomic policies if required," he added.
Sanyal also highlighted that the recent S&P ratings upgrade, a strong banking sector, and resilient financial markets are likely to contribute to a robust GDP growth figure this year.
"As you are aware, we have recently received an upgrade from S&P Global. Additionally, the financial markets are in sound condition, and our banking system is well-capitalized," Sanyal concluded.
India's GDP growth surged to an impressive 7.8 percent in the April-June quarter, compared to 6.5 percent in the same quarter last year.
According to the data, the agriculture sector rebounded with a solid 3.7 percent growth rate in Q1 2025-2026, especially when contrasted with the 1.5 percent growth rate recorded in the corresponding quarter of the previous fiscal year, which was hindered by erratic monsoon conditions.
The manufacturing sector achieved a growth of 7.7 percent, while the construction sector expanded by 7.6 percent.