India's API Market Set for 5-7% Growth Through FY28
Synopsis
Key Takeaways
New Delhi, March 2 (NationPress) The active pharmaceutical ingredient (API) sector in India, currently estimated to be worth approximately $15–16 billion, is anticipated to expand at a compound annual growth rate of 5–7 percent in FY27 and FY28, according to a report released on Monday.
The analysis from CareEdge Ratings indicates that this growth will be fueled by supportive government policies, a transition towards high-potency and complex APIs, increasing domestic demand, and enhanced access to both regulated and emerging markets.
Indian pharmaceutical companies are evolving from basic APIs to more complex formulations to mitigate price reductions, enhance profit margins, and maintain customer loyalty, the report highlights.
The report also pointed out ongoing dependence on China for essential starting materials, yet it expressed hope that government-backed initiatives and Production-Linked Incentive-supported bulk drug parks will start yielding positive results.
"While it may take time for these measures to fully manifest, signs of progress are already visible: over 30 projects have been completed, with numerous companies launching new capacities under this initiative," the ratings agency reported.
In addition, a range of high-potent and complex APIs is being developed, with their commercial launch expected in the upcoming years, indicating India's gradual advancement up the value chain.
Substantial growth from this transition is predicted to occur in 2-4 years, as most related projects have yet to reach commercial viability and significant production scale-up, the report forecasts.
"In the long term, growth is likely to be driven by an aging population, improved healthcare access, increased insurance coverage, rising chronic diseases, loss of exclusivity, and expansion into additional emerging markets," remarked Pritesh Rathi, Assistant Director at CareEdge Ratings.
Government-supported bulk drug parks are poised to influence the next phase of API investments, with nearly 80 percent of ongoing projects tied to this initiative. Notable developments include large-scale facilities valued between $20 billion and $40 billion in Andhra Pradesh, Himachal Pradesh, and Gujarat, aimed at bolstering domestic API production, decreasing reliance on imports, and driving cost efficiencies across the sector.