Will India's Affordable Housing Finance Sector AUM Reach Rs 2.5 Lakh Crore by FY28?

Synopsis
Key Takeaways
- Retail mortgage-backed loans are expected to grow significantly by FY28.
- The share of affordable housing finance companies is projected to rise to Rs 2.5 lakh crore.
- Robust demand and limited credit options are driving growth.
- AHFCs maintain low non-performing assets rates.
- Self-construction loans constitute a substantial portion of AHFCs' portfolios.
New Delhi, July 30 (NationPress) Retail mortgage-backed loans provided by non-banking financial companies (NBFCs) and housing finance companies (HFCs) in India are anticipated to grow to Rs 20 lakh crore by FY28, increasing from Rs 13 lakh crore as recorded in March 2025. The segment of affordable housing finance companies (AHFCs) is expected to contribute Rs 2.5 lakh crore, up from Rs 1.4 lakh crore, as highlighted in a recent report.
According to the credit rating agency ICRA, mortgage loans from NBFCs and AHFCs are projected to grow at a CAGR of 17-19% and 20-22% respectively by FY28.
“In the next three years, the growth of retail mortgage loans will be fueled by strong demand along with limited access to alternative credit options, stemming from ongoing challenges in unsecured lending,” stated A.M. Karthik, Senior Vice President and Co-Group Head-Financial Sector Ratings at ICRA Limited.
This sector has consistently shown a strong performance characterized by low loan losses and healthy business returns, he noted.
Housing finance companies (HFCs) represent approximately two-thirds of all mortgage loans, with AHFCs making up 11% of the overall AUM (Rs 13 lakh crore) as of March 2025.
The report indicates that AHFCs focus more on self-employed borrowers and loans secured against property compared to larger HFCs that target prime borrower segments.
AHFCs have a significant proportion of smaller ticket loans, and their AUM growth has been notably rapid in recent times, resulting in low portfolio seasoning.
Some leading AHFCs, which account for nearly 70% of the industry AUM, have maintained non-performing assets (NPAs) at a controlled rate of 1.1-1.3% over the past three years, with average credit costs relative to average managed assets being around 0.3% during this period, as mentioned in the report.
Furthermore, the AHFCs typically have an average LTV ratio of approximately 55% and a significant portion of loans allocated for self-construction of homes (around 40% of AUM), which is expected to help maintain their credit quality.