Has Inflation Eased for India's Farm and Rural Workers in May?

Synopsis
Key Takeaways
- Inflation rates for agricultural and rural workers have decreased significantly.
- The overall inflation rate in India has also declined.
- Food inflation has reached its lowest level in nearly two years.
- The RBI's revised inflation forecast indicates a stable economic outlook.
- Easing inflation may lead to interest rate cuts.
New Delhi, June 20 (NationPress) The year-on-year inflation rates based on the all-India consumer price index for agricultural labourers (CPI-AL) and rural labourers (CPI-RL) for May this year have decreased to 2.84 per cent and 2.97 per cent, respectively, compared to 7 per cent and 7.02 per cent in the same month of the previous year, providing relief to impoverished households, as reported by the Ministry of Labour & Employment on Friday.
The inflation rate has also seen a drop on a month-to-month basis, as the April 2025 figures stood at 3.48 per cent for CPI-AL and 3.53 per cent for CPI-RL.
The inflation figures for agricultural and rural laborers have been gradually declining over the past seven months, offering a much-needed reprieve for these vulnerable groups most affected by rising prices. This trend allows for more disposable income, enabling them to purchase a broader variety of goods and improving their quality of life.
The drop in inflation for farm and rural workers coincides with a decrease in the country’s overall inflation, based on the Consumer Price Index (CPI), which fell to 2.82 per cent in May this year compared to the same month of the previous year. This marks the lowest level of retail inflation since February 2019, according to a statement from the Ministry of Statistics on Thursday.
Food inflation has also diminished to 0.99 per cent in May, the lowest since October 2021, marking the seventh consecutive month of decline in food inflation, attributed to increased agricultural output.
The notable drop in inflation this month is largely due to the decline in prices of pulses, vegetables, fruits, cereals, household goods & services, sugar, and eggs.
Additionally, inflation has been reduced due to a moderation in fuel prices, reflecting lower international crude oil prices during the month.
The Reserve Bank of India (RBI) has adjusted its inflation forecast for 2025-26 downward from the previous estimate of 4 per cent to 3.7 per cent, as stated by Governor Sanjay Malhotra during the recent monetary policy review.
The CPI inflation for the financial year 2025-26 is now projected to be 3.7 per cent, with quarterly projections of 2.9 per cent for Q1, 3.4 per cent for Q2, 3.9 per cent for Q3, and 4.4 per cent for Q4.
The easing inflation has allowed the RBI to implement an interest rate cut and reduce the cash reserve ratio (CRR) for banks, aiming to boost economic growth.