Will NBFC's 2-wheeler AUM Surge by 18-19% in FY26?

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Will NBFC's 2-wheeler AUM Surge by 18-19% in FY26?

Synopsis

The growth of NBFC's two-wheeler financing is on the rise, driven by escalating vehicle ownership costs and changing consumer preferences. This significant trend is shaping the future of two-wheeler sales and financing in the industry, making it a crucial area to watch for investors and consumers alike.

Key Takeaways

  • NBFC's AUM for 2W segment to grow by 18-19%
  • Average loan amount increased significantly
  • Growth driven by inflation and premiumization trends
  • NBFCs dominate the 2W finance market
  • Credit costs expected between 3.9% and 4.1%

New Delhi, Oct 27 (NationPress) The Assets under Management (AUM) of Non-Banking Financial Companies (NBFCs) in the two-wheeler (2W) segment is projected to increase by 18-19% during this financial year (FY26), according to a report released on Monday.

The average loan amount in the 2W category has experienced a significant rise, escalating from Rs 86,111 in FY21 to Rs 1,14,929 in FY25.

This upward trajectory is largely attributed to inflation-driven increases in raw material costs, heightened vehicle ownership expenses due to the implementation of OBD-II Phase-B norms, and an increasing consumer preference for higher cubic capacity two-wheelers, signaling a trend towards premiumization, as indicated in a report by CareEdge Ratings.

The domestic retail industry for 2W is anticipated to witness a sales growth of about 6-7% in FY26.

Despite the high base of FY25 and the introduction of OBD-II Phase-B emission standards potentially moderating growth slightly, the overall sector outlook remains optimistic following the GST cuts in September 2025.

The report predicts that credit costs for the 2W portfolio in FY26 will remain between 3.9% to 4.1%, urging NBFCs to maintain a cautious approach and focus on selective underwriting of quality customers.

Retail sales of two-wheelers grew at a 10% CAGR from FY21 to FY24, but growth slowed to 8% in FY25 due to a high base effect, weak rural sentiment, and cautious lending practices by NBFCs.

As of FY25, NBFCs command a dominant 68.5% share of the 2W finance market, capitalizing on targeted segmentation of untapped, high-yield borrowers and leveraging synergies with parent companies.

According to Sanjay Agarwal, Senior Director – BFSI at CareEdge Ratings, "We anticipate FY26 growth will mirror FY25 levels of 18-19%, reflecting a measured approach from financiers. The NBFC 2W finance portfolio achieved a 22% CAGR over four years from FY21 to FY25, reaching Rs 1,12,751 crores by March 31, 2025."

Growth moderated to 18% in FY25 due to financiers adopting a cautious stance amid a general rise in asset quality stress, he elaborated.

The 2W financing market has expanded at a CAGR of 16% since 2021, reaching Rs 1.64 lakh crore as of March 31, 2025.

NBFCs continue to dominate the 2W financing sector, while both public and private sector banks have seen their market share decline.

The report highlighted that NBFCs meet the needs of this segment by servicing underbanked markets with quicker underwriting and disbursement processes. Although 2W loans are secured, customers typically provide minimal documentation and are often new to credit.

Point of View

I emphasize the importance of monitoring market trends like the projected growth of NBFC's two-wheeler financing. This development not only reflects consumer behavior but also indicates how financial institutions adapt to changing economic conditions. It's essential for stakeholders to stay informed and prepared for shifts in the financial landscape.
NationPress
29/10/2025

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the projected growth rate of NBFC's 2W AUM in FY26?
The projected growth rate of NBFC's two-wheeler AUM in FY26 is expected to be between 18-19%.
What factors are driving the growth in the 2W segment?
The growth is driven by rising vehicle ownership costs, inflation in raw material prices, and a trend towards premiumization among consumers.
How much has the average loan amount in the 2W segment increased?
The average loan amount in the 2W segment has increased from Rs 86,111 in FY21 to Rs 1,14,929 in FY25.
What is the market share of NBFCs in the 2W finance market?
As of FY25, NBFCs hold a dominant 68.5% share of the two-wheeler finance market.
What is the anticipated credit cost for the 2W portfolio in FY26?
The estimated credit costs for the 2W portfolio in FY26 are expected to range from 3.9% to 4.1%.
Nation Press