Quick commerce to need 75 million sq ft of urban logistics space by 2030: CBRE

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Quick commerce to need 75 million sq ft of urban logistics space by 2030: CBRE

Synopsis

India's quick commerce boom isn't just reshaping retail — it's rewriting the urban real estate playbook. A new CBRE report projects demand for 75 million sq ft of logistics space by 2030, with dark stores set to more than double from 7,800 to over 12,000. At an 81% CAGR in warehousing demand, no other retail format comes close.

Key Takeaways

India's quick commerce sector will require nearly 75 million square feet of urban logistics space by 2030 , per CBRE South Asia .
This includes 42 million sq ft of in-city dark stores and 33 million sq ft of mother hubs.
The number of dark stores is projected to grow from 7,800 in 2026 to over 12,000 by 2030 .
Warehousing demand from quick commerce grew at an 81% CAGR between 2021 and 2025 .
Delhi-NCR leads city-wise demand at 21% , followed by Mumbai (20%) and Bengaluru (17%) .
Annual space absorption rose from 3.1 million sq ft in 2024 to 4.3 million sq ft in 2025 .

India's fast-expanding quick commerce sector is projected to require nearly 75 million square feet of urban logistics space by 2030, driven by the proliferation of dark stores and large-scale warehousing infrastructure, according to a report by CBRE South Asia released on Monday, 26 October 2026. The figure underscores how the race to deliver groceries and essentials within minutes is fundamentally redrawing India's real estate map.

The Demand Breakdown

The CBRE report estimates the sector will need approximately 42 million square feet of in-city dark stores and an additional 33 million square feet of mother hubs by the end of the decade. Mother hubs are large warehouses — typically situated on city outskirts — that stock bulk inventory and replenish multiple dark stores through a hub-and-spoke distribution model.

India's quick commerce ecosystem has already scaled to around 7,800 dark stores in 2026, currently occupying nearly 27 million square feet of logistics space across more than 100 cities. That number is expected to exceed 12,000 dark stores by 2030.

Explosive Growth in Warehousing Demand

Quick commerce-linked warehousing demand recorded a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 81 per cent between 2021 and 2025 — accounting for roughly 4–5 per cent of total logistics leasing activity across India during that period. Annual space absorption tied to the segment climbed from 3.1 million square feet in 2024 to 4.3 million square feet in 2025.

City-Wise Market Share

Geographically, Delhi-NCR emerged as the dominant market, accounting for 21 per cent of total quick commerce warehousing demand between 2021 and the first half of 2026. Mumbai followed closely at 20 per cent, with Bengaluru at 17 per cent, Hyderabad at 16 per cent, and Chennai at 11 per cent. Notably, around 65–70 per cent of the existing dark-store network remains concentrated in the country's top eight metropolitan markets, even as operators push into tier-II and tier-III cities.

What Industry Leaders Are Saying

Anshuman Magazine, Chairman and CEO for India, South-East Asia, Middle East and Africa at CBRE, said: 'Quick commerce is reshaping how consumption and urban logistics intersect in India, and real estate sits at the heart of this shift.' He added that as platforms transition 'from capital-heavy expansion to a more disciplined growth cycle, the focus is moving from simply adding stores to building dense, efficient and well-located fulfilment networks,' which he said will 'create a substantial real estate opportunity across in-city locations and city peripheries.'

What Comes Next

CBRE noted that the sector's long-term growth will hinge on the creation of compliant, strategically located and future-ready fulfilment assets capable of supporting evolving operational requirements across both metropolitan and emerging urban markets. This comes amid broader investor scrutiny of quick commerce unit economics, making the shift toward efficient, well-sited infrastructure all the more critical for sustained profitability.

Point of View

Meaning indiscriminate dark-store rollouts will give way to disciplined, high-throughput locations. The real estate winners will be landlords and developers who can offer hyper-local, last-mile-ready assets in dense residential catchments, not just cheap peripheral warehouses. The push into tier-II and tier-III cities also raises an unresolved question: whether consumer spending depth in those markets can justify the infrastructure costs that made quick commerce viable in metros.
NationPress
26 Oct 2026

Frequently Asked Questions

How much logistics space will India's quick commerce sector need by 2030?
According to a CBRE South Asia report, India's quick commerce sector will need nearly 75 million square feet of urban logistics space by 2030. This comprises 42 million sq ft of in-city dark stores and 33 million sq ft of mother hubs.
What is a dark store and how is it different from a mother hub?
A dark store is a small urban warehouse dedicated exclusively to fulfilling online quick commerce orders — it is not open to walk-in customers. A mother hub, by contrast, is a large warehouse on a city's outskirts that stocks bulk inventory and replenishes multiple dark stores via a hub-and-spoke model.
How fast has quick commerce warehousing demand grown in India?
Quick commerce warehousing demand in India grew at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 81 per cent between 2021 and 2025, accounting for 4–5 per cent of total logistics leasing across the country during that period.
Which cities are leading quick commerce logistics demand in India?
Delhi-NCR leads with 21 per cent of total quick commerce warehousing demand between 2021 and the first half of 2026, followed by Mumbai at 20 per cent, Bengaluru at 17 per cent, Hyderabad at 16 per cent, and Chennai at 11 per cent.
Will quick commerce expand beyond India's top metros?
Yes. While 65–70 per cent of existing dark stores are currently concentrated in India's top eight metropolitan markets, operators are increasingly expanding into tier-II and tier-III cities, according to the CBRE report.
Nation Press
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