Is Silver's Remarkable 200% Surge Favoring Gold?
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Key Takeaways
New Delhi, Jan 23 (NationPress) Silver has experienced an extraordinary increase of over 200% in the past year, significantly outpacing gold's 80% rise. This trend has created a favorable environment for the yellow metal in the near future, according to a recent report.
The analysis by Motilal Oswal Financial Services Ltd. (MOFSL) reveals that the current gold-silver ratio is now more advantageous for gold following silver's substantial gains.
The dramatic performance of silver has resulted in a notable compression of the gold-silver ratio, which has dropped from pandemic peaks of 127 to approximately 50 at the beginning of 2026.
This adjustment indicates that, while the long-term prospects for precious metals remain positive, the near-term risk-reward dynamic may be shifting towards gold after silver's exceptional performance.
“We maintain a positive outlook on both metals as silver has long-term potential supported by industrial demand and tight market conditions. However, the recent surge has heightened near-term volatility,” stated Navneet Damani, Head of Research Commodities, alongside Manav Modi, Commodities Analyst at Motilal Oswal Financial Services Ltd.
Damani emphasized that during this period of silver's significant outperformance, increasing investments in gold can assist in managing fluctuations while remaining invested in precious metals.
Silver has shown greater volatility with sharper price variations, while gold continues to provide relatively better stability, making it a preferable near-term hedge amid uncertain market conditions, according to the report.
Silver's impressive rise of over 200%, from Rs 60,000 to Rs 3,20,000, may lead to a phase of consolidation at these elevated levels, prompting market participants to rebalance their portfolios.
The brokerage clarified that this perspective is not a negative assessment of silver, but rather a strategy for risk-managed reallocation following a significant uptrend.
In 2026, global silver ETFs faced outflows exceeding 3 million ounces, while gold ETFs saw comparatively stable inflows.
The report noted a rise in global liquidity, highlighting an increase in the money supply in both the US and China, with China's money supply growing over 8% year-on-year—conditions which historically heighten demand for safe-haven assets like gold.
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