Will Ursula von der Leyen Survive Two No-Confidence Votes?

Synopsis
Key Takeaways
- Ursula von der Leyen faces two no-confidence votes this week.
- The motions are primarily driven by concerns over trade agreements.
- Debate and voting are scheduled for Monday and Thursday, respectively.
- Support from centrist parties may help her maintain her position.
- The situation reflects ongoing political polarization in the European Parliament.
Brussels, Oct 6 (NationPress) - Ursula von der Leyen, the President of the European Commission, is set to confront two no-confidence votes this week, just three months after narrowly escaping her inaugural censure motion. The Patriots for Europe (PfE) and The Left have initiated these no-confidence proceedings against Leyen.
The discussions in the European Parliament are slated for Monday at 5 pm CEST, with the voting to occur separately on Thursday at noon CEST, as reported by Euro News.
Although it is anticipated that these two motions are unlikely to succeed, they signify a growing challenge to von der Leyen's leadership and governance approach, which has come under intensified scrutiny since the onset of her second term.
Both motions share a common concern regarding the EU-US trade deal, which has been criticized for its unfavorable terms for European exporters. This agreement stipulates a non-binding commitment to allocate €750 billion towards US-made energy and invest €600 billion in the American economy, drawing strong rebuke from various political factions.
A recent survey revealed that 52 percent of respondents perceive the deal as a 'humiliation' for Europe. Von der Leyen has acknowledged the deal's 'imperfect' nature, yet she maintains that it is 'solid' enough to navigate the trade turmoil instigated by US President Donald Trump.
The PfE and The Left have also raised alarms about the detrimental effects of the EU-Mercosur free trade agreement on European farmers. Concluded by Ursula von der Leyen in December last year, the legal texts of this agreement are now pending adoption. They have also criticized von der Leyen for her lack of transparency.
Despite the shared focus on the EU-US trade deal, the PfE and The Left diverge on numerous issues. The PfE is concerned about the Commission’s management of irregular migration and its 'misguided' green policies, while The Left has been vocal about the EU's 'failure' to tackle the climate and social crises, as well as the ongoing conflict in Gaza.
According to Thomas Shannon, a spokesperson for The Left, quoted by Euro News, 'The plan is to topple the Commission.' He emphasized that this is not merely a recurring issue but an indication that 'the time is up.'
Von der Leyen's spokesperson confirmed that the President will be present for the plenary debate on Monday, where she will have the opportunity to address the concerns raised. She is expected to withstand the no-confidence votes due to the backing of three centrist parties: the European People’s Party (EPP), the Socialists and Democrats (S&D), and the liberals of Renew Europe. Despite their differences, these centrist factions believe that the parliament should refrain from trivializing censure motions amidst numerous crises both domestically and internationally.
In July, 360 votes opposed Ursula von der Leyen's dismissal, with 175 in favor and 18 abstentions. The consecutive motions reflect the political polarization she faces during her second term. During the July debate, she labeled her critics as 'Russian puppets' but expressed a willingness to renew her connections with the parliament and address the disagreements within her centrist coalition.