Is Gujarat Prepared for the Heavy Rainfall Ahead?

Synopsis
Key Takeaways
- Red alert issued for heavy rainfall in Gujarat.
- Northern districts particularly affected.
- Gujarat recorded 23% above-average rainfall this season.
- Fishermen advised against venturing into the sea.
- Uneven rainfall raises concerns for crop management.
Ahmedabad, Sep 7 (NationPress) The India Meteorological Department (IMD) has issued a red alert for various regions in Gujarat, cautioning residents about heavy to very heavy rainfall expected over the next 48 hours. This warning particularly affects northern districts, where the monsoon is notably active.
Officials explain that the alert is a result of a sustained low-pressure system and a robust monsoon trough.
Districts such as Banaskantha, Sabarkantha, Mehsana, Patan, and several areas in Saurashtra-Kutch are under red alert, with forecasts indicating the possibility of extremely heavy rainfall. Additionally, cities like Ahmedabad, Surendranagar, Kheda, and Patan are also anticipated to experience significant downpours, while regions in South Gujarat have been placed under an orange alert.
The IMD has advised strict caution during this period, noting that although rainfall intensity may diminish after two days, the immediate future remains critical.
According to reports, Gujarat has already experienced a rainfall surplus of 23 percent above average for this monsoon season. Fishermen have been warned against heading out to sea due to rough weather conditions.
Previous forecasts indicated widespread rainfall across nearly all of Gujarat, affecting regions including Banaskantha, Ahmedabad, Vadodara, Surat, Narmada, Bharuch, Navsari, Valsad, Tapi, and Dang, as well as Rajkot, Jamnagar, Junagadh, Bhavnagar, Kutch, and Dwarka in the Saurashtra-Kutch area. The monsoon trough currently stretches from Ganganagar to the northeast Bay of Bengal, with an active cyclonic circulation over the Bay and the adjacent coast of Myanmar.
In 2025, Gujarat’s rainfall pattern has been characterized by both abundance and uneven distribution, significantly influencing the state’s agriculture and water storage strategies.
By early September, the state had received over 92 percent of its seasonal average rainfall, with North Gujarat leading at over 96 percent of its expected quota, while Central and South Gujarat reported positive figures as well.
Regions typically facing water scarcity, such as Saurashtra and Kutch, have experienced better-than-anticipated rainfall this year, mitigating the deficit trends seen in previous years. Intense rainfall events in July and August, driven by active low-pressure systems over the Arabian Sea and Bay of Bengal, resulted in substantial downpours that filled major reservoirs—Sardar Sarovar recorded above 91 percent storage, while 123 out of 206 reservoirs across the state reached high-alert levels.
However, the distribution of rainfall was not uniform; several districts experienced flooding, crop damage, and waterlogging due to consecutive heavy rainfall events, whereas others faced intermittent dry spells that stressed kharif crops. This mix of generous yet erratic rainfall underscores both the benefits and challenges of Gujarat’s 2025 monsoon, reflecting broader trends in climate variability that are impacting regional weather patterns.