Are Nifty Earnings Set to Surge by 16% in FY27?

Synopsis
Key Takeaways
- Nifty earnings expected to rise by 8% in FY26 and 16% in FY27.
- Positive growth driven by policy reforms and macroeconomic factors.
- Strong performance anticipated in sectors like BFSI and manufacturing.
- Improved consumer sentiment due to liquidity measures.
- Valuations remain reasonable, suggesting investment opportunities.
New Delhi, Oct 16 (NationPress) The anticipated average earnings of Nifty 50 companies are projected to increase by 8 percent in FY26 and a remarkable 16 percent in FY27, according to a report released on Thursday. This growth is attributed to various policy initiatives, macroeconomic resilience, and a growing domestic investor base.
As India’s markets transition into Samvat 2082, the report from Motilal Oswal Financial Services Ltd (MOFSL) expresses optimism about sectors such as BFSI, capital markets, consumption, manufacturing, and digital industries.
The brokerage firm highlighted several policy measures that have enhanced liquidity and consumer demand, including a 100-basis-point repo rate cut, a 150-basis-point reduction in CRR, Rs 1 lakh crore in income tax concessions, GST 2.0 reforms, and lower inflation, all contributing to improved consumer sentiment.
"We believe this signals the onset of a recovery in India’s domestic growth trajectory, with a notable rise in consumption paving the way for a strong revival in the private capex cycle. This, coupled with an improving earnings outlook, is expected to bolster Indian equities," the report stated.
According to Motilal Oswal, these conducive factors support a transition from single-digit earnings growth to sustainable double-digit growth during the latter half of FY26.
"The core fundamentals have strengthened, evidenced by a 7.8 percent GDP growth in Q1FY26, a decrease in inflation to 1.5 percent in September 2025 from 5.5 percent in September 2024, and a favorable policy environment that continues to enhance investor confidence," the report elaborated.
Valuations remain reasonable and close to long-term averages, hovering around 20 times FY26 earnings. Mid and small-cap stocks are trading at a slight premium, suggesting the necessity for selective stock picking, the brokerage observed.
Financials are poised for an earnings recovery in H2FY26, supported by lower borrowing costs, improved NIMs, and stable deposits, the brokerage noted.
The revival of capital expenditure and ongoing policy reforms are expected to foster multi-year growth for the manufacturing sector, positioning India as a significant global manufacturing center, the report indicated.