Has Rajasthan's Monsoon Outperformed Expectations This Year?

Synopsis
Key Takeaways
- Rajasthan exceeded its seasonal rainfall average by August 14.
- Record-breaking rainfall in July reached 285 mm.
- 19 districts have met or exceeded their average monsoon quota.
- IMD forecasts favorable weather conditions until August 28.
- Yellow alerts have been issued for multiple districts.
Jaipur, Aug 16 (NationPress) This year's monsoon has left a significant mark on Rajasthan. From June 1 to August 14, the state has recorded an impressive 436.7 mm of rainfall, exceeding the seasonal average of 435.6 mm, which is typically achieved by September 30. This achievement indicates that Rajasthan has reached its complete monsoon quota over a month and a half ahead of schedule.
The India Meteorological Department (IMD) anticipates favorable conditions will persist, with promising rainfall expected during the last two weeks of August.
The monsoon made its arrival in Rajasthan about a week earlier than anticipated, and its effects were immediately apparent. Continuous and heavy rainfall was experienced from the onset until the first week of August, with June and July recording nearly double the average rainfall.
Although there was a slight weakening of the monsoon in early August, with a noticeable pause during the second week, the rainfall had already surpassed the seasonal average by that point.
In just 14 days, August has recorded 26.4 mm of rain, further pushing the season's total beyond the yearly target. A standout feature of this year's monsoon was the remarkable rainfall in July, where Rajasthan experienced 285 mm, breaking a record that had stood for 69 years. The previous record, set in 1956, was 308 mm.
By August 14, 19 out of 33 districts in the state had met or exceeded their average monsoon quota. This includes districts such as Ajmer, Baran, Bhilwara, and Jaipur.
In the Ajmer Division, all districts, including Ajmer, Nagaur, and Tonk, recorded above-average rainfall. In the Jaipur Division, both Jaipur and Dausa experienced good rainfall, though Alwar remained slightly below average.
Kota Division saw heavy rainfall in Kota and Baran, while Jhalawar is still lagging. In the Bharatpur Division, Bharatpur is below average, but Dholpur has received above-normal rainfall.
In the Bikaner Division, all districts except Bikaner recorded above-average rainfall. Jodhpur and Udaipur Divisions have shown weaker monsoon activity, with five out of six districts experiencing 22% to 40% below-average rainfall, except Rajsamand which is close to the seasonal norm.
Meanwhile, the IMD forecasts improvements towards the end of the monsoon season. Radheshyam Sharma, Director of the Meteorological Centre, Jaipur, stated that monsoon activity is expected to remain robust across Rajasthan until August 28. From August 16 to 18, light to moderate rainfall, and in some areas, heavy rainfall is anticipated. Furthermore, from August 19 to 21, rainfall is likely in both western and eastern regions of Rajasthan, with the monsoon remaining active from August 22 to 28, bringing above-normal rainfall.
Recently, between Friday and Saturday, rainfall between 1 to 2.5 inches was recorded in districts such as Dungarpur, Udaipur, and Bharatpur.
A yellow alert has been issued for 24 districts, including Jaipur, due to these conditions.
Looking at recent trends, met officials highlight that this year's monsoon has been exceptional, with an early onset, record-breaking July rainfall, and the seasonal quota achieved well in advance.
Officials remarked, 'With more rain predicted, this could emerge as one of the most significant monsoon seasons in recent history for Rajasthan.'