Did the Indian Stock Market End the Holiday-Shortened Week on a High Note?

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Did the Indian Stock Market End the Holiday-Shortened Week on a High Note?

Synopsis

The Indian stock market has shown resilience, ending the holiday-shortened week positively. With the RBI's optimistic growth forecast and strong performances in various sectors, investors are feeling more confident. This article delves into the market trends and what lies ahead for investors.

Key Takeaways

  • The Indian stock market ended the holiday-shortened week positively.
  • RBI's growth forecast upgrade boosted investor confidence.
  • The Nifty crossed above its 50-DMA, signaling a bullish trend.
  • Metals and PSU banks performed particularly well.
  • Short-term volatility may arise from global trade developments.

Mumbai, Oct 4 (NationPress) The Indian stock market concluded the holiday-shortened week on a positive note, bouncing back after recent corrections, which bolstered investor confidence thanks to the RBI's optimistic growth outlook, analysts noted on Saturday.

On Friday, the Sensex wrapped up the session at 81,207.17, gaining 223.86 points or 0.28 percent. The Nifty finished at 24,894.25, up 57.95 points or 0.23 percent. The Nifty's recovery continued for the second consecutive session, surpassing its crucial 50-DMA at 24,830 and forming a bullish candle on the daily chart. After last week’s sharp decline, the index showed signs of recovery by closing above the 24,800 threshold.

Market analysts indicated that the RBI's upgrade of the FY26 GDP growth forecast to 6.8 percent and the announcement of significant reforms played a key role in the banking sector's strong performance.

“Metal stocks maintained their upward trend, buoyed by expectations of a Federal Reserve rate cut in October, a weaker dollar index, and stable base metal prices,” commented Vinod Nair, Head of Research at Geojit Investments Ltd.

Additionally, gold maintained its allure as a safe haven, while silver prices increased due to robust industrial demand and supply constraints.

Consumer-focused sectors showed growth amid expectations of festive demand, whereas IT and pharmaceutical sectors lagged due to stagnant progress on the US-India trade agreement, analysts observed.

A report from Bajaj Broking Research indicated that the benchmark indices concluded the shortened week positively, recording gains of nearly 1 percent.

PSU bank stocks also contributed significantly, with the Nifty PSU Bank index surging over 4 percent for the week. In Friday's trading, metals, PSU banks, and consumer durables led the charge, each rising between 1 percent and 2 percent.

The Bank Nifty has shown consistent strength over the past few sessions. The formation of a bullish candle with a higher high and higher low on the daily chart suggests a continuation of the bullish trend, buoyed by large-cap banking stocks.

Looking forward, market momentum is likely to be sustained by robust H2 FY26 earnings and seasonal demand trends, although global trade dynamics and US policy changes could introduce short-term volatility, analysts cautioned.

The recent 25-bps rate cut by the Fed, along with the potential for further easing, is expected to enhance FII inflows into emerging markets, they added.

Point of View

It's essential to recognize the Indian stock market's resilience amid global uncertainties. The recent gains reflect a positive investor sentiment, bolstered by the RBI's supportive measures. However, we must remain vigilant about potential short-term volatility due to external economic factors.
NationPress
04/10/2025

Frequently Asked Questions

What drove the positive performance of the Indian stock market?
The positive performance was driven by the RBI's optimistic growth forecast, strong sector performances, and expectations of a Federal Reserve rate cut.
Which sectors performed well this week?
The metals, PSU bank, and consumer durables sectors showed significant gains, while IT and pharma lagged behind.
What impact might global trade dynamics have on the market?
Global trade dynamics and US policy changes could introduce short-term volatility, influencing market performance.
How did the recent Fed rate cut affect the stock market?
The recent 25-bps rate cut by the Fed is expected to bolster FII inflows into emerging markets, positively impacting the stock market.
What are the expectations for the upcoming H2 FY26 earnings?
Strong H2 FY26 earnings are anticipated, which, along with seasonal demand tailwinds, could support market momentum.
Nation Press