Could Nifty Reach 28,781 in a Year? Domestic Sectors Poised for Growth

Synopsis
Key Takeaways
- Nifty is projected to reach 28,781 in a year.
- Domestic sectors like banks, autos, and metals are key growth drivers.
- Economic recovery supported by favorable monsoons and interest rate cuts.
- Services exports are on a new growth trajectory.
- India's GDP growth surpassed expectations at 7.8%.
New Delhi, Oct 14 (NationPress) A recent report anticipates that the market benchmark Nifty may achieve a value of 28,781 within the next year, highlighting the exceptional strength of India's economy and equity markets amid global challenges such as US tariffs, hikes in H-1B visa fees, and geopolitical instability.
According to PL Capital, the projected EPS compound annual growth rate for Nifty from FY25 to FY27 stands at 12.1 percent, with domestic-focused sectors including banks, automobiles, and metals expected to drive the growth.
The brokerage noted that favorable conditions such as normal monsoon seasons, a 100-basis-point reduction in interest rates, the rationalization of GST rates, and tax cuts outlined in the FY26 Budget will foster a significant revival in consumption.
Sectors like cement, metals, oil, and gas are also projected to lead earnings in FY26.
India's Q1 FY26 GDP growth, which exceeded expectations at 7.8 percent year-on-year, compared to 6.5 percent in Q1 FY25 and 7.4 percent in Q4 FY25, further underscores the economy's resilience, the report indicates.
High-frequency metrics such as GST collections, e-way bills, services exports, and credit growth demonstrate strong underlying domestic demand.
The anticipated revival in demand is likely to enhance private sector capacity utilization and private capital expenditure, which have been on hold, as per PL Capital's projections.
The firm also highlighted that India's services exports are entering a new growth trajectory, characterized by high-value knowledge services delivered digitally.
“By 2030, the nation is expected to host approximately 2,200 Global Capability Centres (GCCs), generating over $100 billion in revenue, with total services exports projected to reach $500 billion,” the firm stated.
The evolving talent landscape reflects increasing demand in sectors such as AI, cybersecurity, GenAI product engineering, and sustainability analytics, further establishing India as a global innovation hub.