Shifting Sands: India’s Gold Market Embraces Investment Demand Amidst Declining Jewellery Sales

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Shifting Sands: India’s Gold Market Embraces Investment Demand Amidst Declining Jewellery Sales

Synopsis

India's gold market is evolving, with a notable shift towards investment demand as jewellery sales decline due to high prices. Discover the factors driving this change and its implications for the industry.

Key Takeaways

Gold market in India shifting towards investment demand .
Jewellery demand has decreased by 26 percent year-on-year.
Investment in bars and coins has increased substantially.
India is the largest consumer of gold jewellery globally.
Mandatory hallmarking has improved purity and recycling efficiency.

New Delhi, March 27 (NationPress) The gold market in India is undergoing a transformation, leaning more towards investment-oriented demand as elevated prices dampen jewellery sales, according to a report released on Friday.

The collaborative report by ICRA and Assocham indicated that the demand for gold jewellery in India has dropped by approximately 26 percent year-on-year during the first half of FY26, while demand for bars and coins has seen a 15 percent increase, partially mitigating the decline.

Globally, the consumption of gold jewellery dropped by 15 percent in FY25 and saw an additional 17 percent decrease in the first half of FY26, largely due to rising prices.

On the other hand, the appetite for investment in bars, coins, and exchange-traded funds surged by 74 percent and 60 percent, respectively, compared to the previous year.

The report anticipates that while high prices may continue to suppress jewellery demand in the short term, growing investment interest, the expansion of organized players, and increasing financialization are likely to bolster the sector's growth in the medium term.

India has emerged as the world's largest consumer of gold jewellery, surpassing China and accounting for 30 percent of global demand in FY25, buoyed by strong cultural practices associated with weddings and festivals.

In recent years, central banks have been significant gold purchasers, with annual acquisitions exceeding 1,000 tonnes between FY2023 and FY2025, helping to support prices amid global economic uncertainties.

Gold prices have surged nearly 33 percent in FY25 and over 50 percent in the current fiscal year, attributed to central bank purchases, geopolitical tensions, and the depreciation of the rupee against the US dollar.

On the supply front, India remains heavily dependent on imports due to limited domestic mining, with imports fulfilling around 85–88 percent of the total supply in recent years.

Global mine production has remained relatively consistent, accounting for 70 percent of supply. The report also notes that gold recycling has gained traction in India, contributing to supply.

The implementation of mandatory hallmarking has significantly enhanced purity assurance and recycling efficiency, with the report praising the India Good Delivery Standards (IGDS) for improving domestic refining practices and aligning Indian bars with international standards.

The organized sector now represents approximately 40 percent of the gold jewellery market, as players expand their reach through franchise models and increase their presence in tier 2 and tier 3 cities, as estimated by the report.

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Point of View

It's crucial to recognize the ongoing transformation within India's gold market. The shift towards investment-driven demand amidst declining jewellery sales highlights broader economic trends and cultural shifts. This underscores the resilience of the gold sector, which continues to adapt to market dynamics.
NationPress
20 Jun 2026

Frequently Asked Questions

What is driving the decline in gold jewellery sales in India?
The decline in gold jewellery sales in India is primarily attributed to high gold prices, which have deterred consumers from purchasing.
How has investment demand for gold changed recently?
Investment demand for gold, particularly in bars and coins, has surged, with a reported increase of 74 percent year-on-year.
What percentage of global gold demand does India account for?
India accounted for 30 percent of global gold demand in FY25, making it the largest consumer of gold jewellery worldwide.
What role do central banks play in the gold market?
Central banks have become significant buyers of gold, with annual purchases exceeding 1,000 tonnes, which helps support gold prices.
How has gold recycling impacted the supply in India?
Gold recycling in India has gained traction, contributing to the overall supply and helping to meet the demand amidst heavy reliance on imports.
Nation Press
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