How a 15% US Tariff Can Transform Asia-Pacific Economies
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Key Takeaways
New Delhi, Feb 24 (NationPress) A consistent 15% US tariff introduced by President Donald Trump is expected to positively impact various economies in the Asia-Pacific region that had been subjected to higher, country-specific tariffs, according to a report released on Tuesday.
The analysis from Moody’s Analytics indicated that nations such as Japan, South Korea, and Taiwan would see limited changes since their tariffs are already close to 15%. Conversely, countries like China and numerous Southeast Asian nations stand to gain from this new tariff structure.
This development raises concerns regarding the recent trade agreements with India and Indonesia, with unresolved aspects including the timeline for India's reduction of Russian oil imports and the specifics of tariff-free textile exports from Indonesia. Furthermore, India has postponed its plans to dispatch a delegation to Washington.
The report highlights that the recent ruling by the US Supreme Court against country-specific tariffs has diminished Washington’s leverage in trade negotiations.
As uncertainty looms over an upcoming pivotal meeting between Trump and Chinese President Xi Jinping, scheduled for next month, expectations are that Trump will explore alternative legal avenues to impose tariffs. It is anticipated that US tariffs may revert to previous levels.
Some governments might delay the ratification of trade agreements with the US, fearing the imposition of harsher tariffs, as noted by the agency.
There are also potential compensation claims and an increase in front-loading shipments before the new tariffs take effect, contributing to trade uncertainty and logistical complications.
Tariffs under Section 122 are set to expire automatically after 150 days unless Congress votes for an extension. Although the timeframe is clear, experts indicate that the President could allow these measures to lapse and potentially reintroduce them by declaring a new balance-of-payments emergency, according to another report.
President Trump has cautioned nations against withdrawing from trade agreements, warning that doing so could result in elevated tariffs.
aar/pk