Emerging market data centre pipeline nearly doubles global capacity: S&P

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Emerging market data centre pipeline nearly doubles global capacity: S&P

Synopsis

The global data centre industry's next frontier is emerging markets — and the planned pipeline there is nearly twice the size of all facilities operating worldwide today. But S&P Global Ratings warns that energy bottlenecks, water scarcity, and social opposition could derail the build-out, with India among the markets where the pressure on power grids is already acute.

Key Takeaways

Planned data centre developments in emerging markets amount to nearly twice current worldwide operating capacity, according to S&P Global Ratings .
Growing opposition to data centre projects in developed economies is redirecting investment toward emerging markets.
Benefits will be unevenly distributed, favouring countries with reliable electricity grids , renewable energy access , and transparent permitting systems .
Energy and water availability are identified as the primary risks; grid bottlenecks and water stress are already constraining fast-growing hubs.
In Asia-Pacific , including India , rapid expansion is straining power infrastructure and accelerating the need for renewable energy deployment.
In the Middle East , low-cost power supports growth but acute water scarcity may require technologies such as solar-powered desalination and advanced cooling systems.

Emerging markets are on track to become the next major growth engine for the global data centre industry, with planned developments in these regions amounting to nearly twice the size of current worldwide operating capacity, according to a report by S&P Global Ratings. The findings, released on 4 September, signal a significant geographic shift in where digital infrastructure investment is heading.

Why Operators Are Looking Beyond Developed Markets

Growing opposition to data centre construction in developed economies is prompting operators to seek expansion opportunities in emerging markets, the S&P report noted. Communities and regulators in markets such as the United States, the Netherlands, and Ireland have pushed back against large-scale data centre projects, citing concerns over power consumption, water use, and land access. This resistance is effectively redirecting substantial capital toward digital infrastructure in regions with fewer regulatory hurdles — at least for now.

Uneven Distribution of Benefits

S&P cautioned that the benefits of this investment wave are unlikely to be distributed evenly across emerging markets. The scale of capital deployment and the pace at which planned projects become operational facilities will vary significantly by region, favouring countries that can demonstrate reliable electricity grids, transparent permitting systems, access to renewable energy, and adequate capital availability. Nations that fall short on these criteria risk being bypassed despite their apparent cost advantages.

Energy and Water: The Twin Pressure Points

S&P identified energy and water availability as the primary risks confronting the sector in emerging markets. In fast-growing data centre hubs, expansion is increasingly colliding with power grid bottlenecks and water stress. Developers also face the prospect of rising social opposition if projects are perceived to inflate electricity costs, weaken grid reliability, or limit local communities' access to land and water resources.

In the Asia-Pacific region — including India — rapid expansion is placing greater strain on power infrastructure, heightening the urgency of renewable energy deployment. Concerns over grid reliability may, in turn, push some operators toward independent power sources that could be less environmentally friendly, according to the report. Water stress in coastal and industrial zones is also expected to accelerate the adoption of more water-efficient cooling technologies.

Middle East: Cheap Power, Scarce Water

In the Middle East, abundant and relatively low-cost power is supporting data centre growth, but acute water scarcity presents a significant challenge. While expanding solar energy capacity is lending some support to the sector, S&P warned that operators moving into increasingly arid areas may need to adopt technologies such as solar-powered desalination and advanced closed-loop cooling systems to manage resource constraints effectively.

What This Means for India and the Broader Region

India sits at the intersection of these competing forces — a large and growing digital economy, a government keen on attracting data centre investment, but a power grid that is still catching up with demand. The S&P report underscores that the country's ability to fast-track renewable energy capacity and streamline permitting will be decisive in determining how much of this global pipeline actually lands on Indian soil. The next phase of the data centre build-out will be won not just on cost, but on infrastructure credibility.

Point of View

But it is also a warning. History shows that announced pipelines and commissioned megawatts are very different things — and the gap tends to be largest where grids are weakest. For India specifically, the risk is that it attracts headline commitments but loses operational projects to rivals like Malaysia or the UAE that have moved faster on renewable energy procurement and single-window permitting. The social opposition dynamic is also underreported: the same community pushback that is slowing projects in Europe will emerge in India and Southeast Asia as electricity tariffs rise and water tables fall. Policymakers who treat data centres as a pure windfall, rather than a managed trade-off, may find the backlash arrives before the benefits do.
NationPress
4 Sept 2026

Frequently Asked Questions

What did the S&P Global Ratings report say about emerging market data centres?
The S&P Global Ratings report found that planned data centre developments in emerging markets amount to nearly twice the size of current worldwide operating capacity. It attributed this pipeline surge to growing opposition to data centre construction in developed economies, which is pushing operators to seek expansion elsewhere.
Which factors will determine which emerging markets attract data centre investment?
According to S&P, investment will favour countries with reliable electricity grids, transparent permitting systems, access to renewable energy, and adequate capital availability. Markets that cannot meet these criteria risk being bypassed despite lower land and labour costs.
What are the biggest risks for data centres in emerging markets?
S&P identified energy and water availability as the primary risks. Fast-growing hubs are already facing power grid bottlenecks and water stress, and developers may also encounter social opposition if projects are seen to raise electricity costs or limit local access to water and land.
How does the data centre boom affect India specifically?
India is among the Asia-Pacific markets where rapid data centre expansion is placing greater strain on power infrastructure, according to the report. This increases the urgency of renewable energy deployment; grid reliability concerns could also push some operators toward less environmentally friendly independent power sources.
How is the Middle East positioned in the global data centre expansion?
The Middle East benefits from abundant and relatively low-cost power, which supports data centre growth. However, acute water scarcity is a significant challenge, and S&P said operators in increasingly arid areas may need to adopt solar-powered desalination and advanced closed-loop cooling systems.
Nation Press
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