FPI buying in India set to continue as GDP, earnings outlook brightens
Synopsis
Key Takeaways
Foreign portfolio investors (FPIs) are likely to sustain their buying streak in India through the near term, driven by improving GDP growth prospects and an encouraging corporate earnings trajectory, according to market analysts. The trend, which gathered momentum in July, has carried into August, with FPIs already net buyers in the equity market through the first week of the month.
FPI Inflows So Far in August
Through 7 August, FPIs purchased equities worth ₹12,920 crore, comprising ₹8,195 crore via stock exchanges and ₹4,125 crore through the primary market and other channels. FPIs also continued to channel funds into the debt market via the Debt General limit, signalling broad-based confidence in Indian assets.
Sectors Attracting FPI Attention
'An important trend in the FPI equity buying is their preference for sectors like automobiles, consumer durables and health care,' said Dr VK Vijayakumar, Chief Investment Strategist at Geojit Investments Ltd. He noted that Q1 FY27 results from these sectors indicate healthy earnings growth, justifying the accumulation. FPIs have also been active in mid-cap and small-cap growth stocks across sectors, reflecting a willingness to move beyond large-cap names.
The Risk: High US Bond Yields
Despite the positive domestic backdrop, analysts caution that the rally may face headwinds. 'This is only to become a major trend since the US bond yields — the 10-year is at 4.67 per cent — are high. This has the potential to attract a lot of funds to the safe US bond markets,' Dr Vijayakumar noted. Elevated US yields historically divert capital away from emerging markets, including India, making the sustainability of FPI inflows contingent on global rate dynamics.
Weekly Market Performance
Indian equity benchmarks ended the week ending 9 August with modest gains despite heightened volatility. Investors navigated the rollout of the new Closing Auction Session (CAS) framework for F&O stocks, the Reserve Bank of India's (RBI) monetary policy decision, and lingering geopolitical uncertainties. The Sensex gained 0.52 per cent to close at 78,499.17, while the Nifty50 advanced 0.77 per cent to settle at 24,570.65. Broader markets outperformed, with the midcap and smallcap indices rising 0.81 per cent and 2.61 per cent respectively.
Outlook for the Week Ahead
The market enters the coming week with a balanced outlook, underpinned by resilient domestic fundamentals, a stable monetary policy stance, and an encouraging start to the earnings season. How US bond yields evolve and whether FPI momentum holds will be the key variables to watch.