Gold, silver slide up to 1% on MCX as US yields rise, Iran tensions persist
Synopsis
Key Takeaways
Gold and silver prices on the Multi Commodity Exchange (MCX) fell up to 1 per cent on Tuesday, 29 September, as elevated US Treasury yields and uncertainty surrounding the US-Iran standoff over the Strait of Hormuz weighed on bullion sentiment.
MCX Levels: Gold and Silver in the Red
Gold futures (December) on the MCX were trading at ₹1,48,410 per 10 grams, down ₹487 or 0.33 per cent. The yellow metal hit an intraday low of ₹1,48,150, a decline of 0.50 per cent or ₹747, by 10:34 am IST, before touching an intraday high of ₹1,49,034.
Silver futures (December) fell more sharply, dropping as much as 1.29 per cent or ₹2,942 to an intraday low of ₹2,24,500 per kg. At last count, silver was trading at ₹2,25,338, down ₹2,104 or 0.93 per cent, having touched an intraday high of ₹2,26,359.
What Is Driving the Decline
The selling pressure in precious metals is linked to twin headwinds. First, elevated US Treasury yields have increased the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding assets such as gold and silver. Second, the unresolved US-Iran standoff over the Strait of Hormuz has kept energy prices higher, adding to macro uncertainty.
Spot gold had already fallen 4 per cent in the previous session, touching a seven-week low. Iranian officials have reportedly privately expressed pessimism about reaching an agreement with Washington before the US midterm elections in November. This comes after US President Donald Trump reportedly rejected Iran's latest proposal to reopen the critical waterway within seven days.
Technical Outlook: Key Levels to Watch
According to commodity experts, immediate resistance for gold is placed at ₹1,50,000–₹1,50,700, followed by ₹1,52,000–₹1,52,600. Support is seen at ₹1,48,000–₹1,47,300, followed by ₹1,46,000–₹1,45,300. A sustained move above ₹1,50,000 would be needed to confirm a recovery, while a decisive break below ₹1,48,000 could trigger a fresh leg lower.
For silver, the metal opened with a gap-down near ₹2,26,000 and remained below the ₹2,27,000–₹2,28,000 resistance zone — a level that flipped from support to resistance after Monday's steep decline. Immediate support is placed at ₹2,24,000–₹2,23,000, followed by ₹2,20,000–₹2,19,000. A break below ₹2,24,000 could expose the metal to the ₹2,20,000 region, experts warned.
Broader Context
The dual pressure of rising US yields and geopolitical risk typically creates a conflicted environment for gold: while geopolitical stress is bullish for safe-haven demand, higher yields make dollar-denominated assets more attractive relative to bullion. For now, the yield headwind appears to be the dominant driver. Traders will be watching both the trajectory of US rates and any diplomatic developments on the Strait of Hormuz before taking fresh directional positions.