India REITs: 150 mn sq ft set to turn eligible by 2031, sector value may hit $50 bn
Synopsis
Key Takeaways
India's Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs) have demonstrated strong resilience despite ongoing geopolitical headwinds, underpinned by long-term lease structures, contracted rental income, and a diversified tenant base, according to a report released on Thursday, 20 August by CareEdge Ratings. The sector is now poised for a significant expansion phase, with over 150 million sq. ft. of office space expected to become REIT-eligible by CY2031.
Scale of Potential Growth
The CareEdge Ratings report estimates that this pipeline could push the sector's total asset value from approximately $33 billion to over $50 billion — a near 52% jump in gross asset value. Growth drivers include robust office demand, improved funding access, and continued asset additions by existing listed vehicles.
As of May 2026, India's six listed REITs collectively hold a Gross Asset Value (GAV) of nearly ₹3.13 lakh crore and a combined market capitalisation exceeding ₹2 lakh crore. Combined debt has risen to ₹68,000 crore, largely on account of portfolio acquisitions and expansions — yet rental income growth of nearly 20% CAGR has kept leverage disciplined, with Net Debt/EBITDA below 4.8 times and Net Debt/GAV below 30%.
Record Office Leasing Despite Global Uncertainty
Office leasing activity remained robust through the geopolitical turbulence, with transactions reaching a record 29.9 million sq. ft. in Q1 2026 — up 6% year-on-year. Demand outpacing supply pushed vacancy rates lower, while rent escalation supported healthy income generation across the sector.
Rajashree Murkute, Senior Director at CareEdge Ratings, said: 'While the geopolitical situation in West Asia remains a key monitorable, the near-term impact on the Indian real estate sector is expected to remain limited. Healthy demand, and stable leasing activity across commercial real estate should support the sector's overall performance.'
GCCs and Flex Spaces Drive Demand
Global Capability Centres (GCCs) emerged as the primary growth engine, contributing 48% of total transactions in the period — up from 44% a year earlier. Bengaluru recorded the highest leasing volume among Indian cities. Grade A buildings dominated deal activity, reflecting occupiers' preference for quality assets.
Flex space operators added further momentum, with India's total flex stock reaching approximately 100 million sq. ft. in 2026. Despite recent rent appreciation, Indian office space remains significantly cheaper than comparable global hubs, sustaining the country's appeal to international occupiers.
Occupancy and Outlook
Average occupancy across India's listed office REITs has climbed steadily — from roughly 84% in FY24 to 89% in FY25, reaching approximately 92% in FY26. Stable cash flows and prudent leverage are expected to reinforce the sector's credit profile going forward.
The CareEdge report added: 'The continued GCC expansion and India's growing role in global supply chains are expected to support a positive medium-term outlook despite ongoing global uncertainty.' With sectoral fundamentals intact and a large eligibility pipeline ahead, India's REIT market appears positioned for its next leg of institutional growth.