Did the Indian Stock Market Turn Bullish After RBI's Rate Cut?
Synopsis
Key Takeaways
- Indian stock market ended bullish after RBI's rate cut.
- Benchmark indices saw slight declines this week.
- Auto and IT sectors led gains during the week.
- Immediate resistance levels for Nifty are 26,350–26,500.
- US Federal Reserve's decisions could impact foreign portfolio flows.
Mumbai, Dec 6 (NationPress) Indian equity benchmarks experienced slight losses following record highs and three weeks of uninterrupted gains attributed to profit booking. Nonetheless, the market concluded the week on a bullish note after the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) announced a 25 bps rate cut, which boosted investor sentiment.
Benchmark indices Nifty and Sensex fell by 0.37 and 0.27 percent over the week, closing at 26,186 and 85,712, respectively.
Initial optimism, driven by a strong Q2 GDP print and robust auto sales, was dampened by ongoing FII outflows, sharp rupee depreciation, and uncertainty regarding trade negotiations.
Broader indices lagged, with Nifty Midcap100 and Smallcap100 declining by 0.73 percent and 1.80 percent, respectively, during the week.
Market sentiment shifted positively on Friday following the RBI's unexpected 25-bps rate cut, supported by revised inflation forecasts and liquidity measures.
Sectoral gains during the week were led by the auto and IT sectors due to festive demand and favorable currency trends, while banks, finance, consumer durables, power, chemicals, and oil & gas sectors lagged behind.
As long as Nifty remains above the 26,050–26,000 range, the bullish trend stays intact. The immediate resistance is now positioned in the 26,350–26,500 zone, and a drop below 26,000 might trigger profit booking, according to market analysts.
With India’s economic growth maintaining resilience despite tariff pressures and global challenges, the Indian equity market is poised to gain if global fund flows shift back towards emerging markets, as per market observers.
Investors are eagerly awaiting insights from the upcoming US Federal Reserve monetary policy decision next week. The markets have already started to factor in a 25 bps rate cut, supported by dovish remarks from various Fed officials and recent data indicating a softening labor market.
Experts suggest that a shift in the US Fed's policy stance could impact currency movements and significantly affect foreign portfolio investor flows into emerging markets like India.