India REITs: 150 mn sq ft set to turn eligible by 2031, sector value may hit $50 bn

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India REITs: 150 mn sq ft set to turn eligible by 2031, sector value may hit $50 bn

Synopsis

India's REIT sector is sitting on a growth runway that most investors haven't fully priced in. With 150 million sq. ft. of office space set to become eligible by 2031 and occupancy hitting 92% in FY26, CareEdge Ratings sees asset value nearly doubling to $50 billion — driven by GCC expansion, flex space momentum, and rents that still undercut global peers.

Key Takeaways

Over 150 million sq. ft. of office space is expected to become REIT-eligible by CY2031 , per CareEdge Ratings .
India's REIT sector asset value could rise from $33 billion to over $50 billion .
Six listed REITs hold a combined GAV of ₹3.13 lakh crore and market cap exceeding ₹2 lakh crore as of May 2026 .
Office leasing hit a record 29.9 million sq. ft. in Q1 2026 , up 6% year-on-year.
GCCs contributed 48% of total transactions, with Bengaluru leading volumes.
Average REIT occupancy climbed from 84% in FY24 to 92% in FY26.

India's Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs) have demonstrated strong resilience despite ongoing geopolitical headwinds, underpinned by long-term lease structures, contracted rental income, and a diversified tenant base, according to a report released on Thursday, 20 August by CareEdge Ratings. The sector is now poised for a significant expansion phase, with over 150 million sq. ft. of office space expected to become REIT-eligible by CY2031.

Scale of Potential Growth

The CareEdge Ratings report estimates that this pipeline could push the sector's total asset value from approximately $33 billion to over $50 billion — a near 52% jump in gross asset value. Growth drivers include robust office demand, improved funding access, and continued asset additions by existing listed vehicles.

As of May 2026, India's six listed REITs collectively hold a Gross Asset Value (GAV) of nearly ₹3.13 lakh crore and a combined market capitalisation exceeding ₹2 lakh crore. Combined debt has risen to ₹68,000 crore, largely on account of portfolio acquisitions and expansions — yet rental income growth of nearly 20% CAGR has kept leverage disciplined, with Net Debt/EBITDA below 4.8 times and Net Debt/GAV below 30%.

Record Office Leasing Despite Global Uncertainty

Office leasing activity remained robust through the geopolitical turbulence, with transactions reaching a record 29.9 million sq. ft. in Q1 2026 — up 6% year-on-year. Demand outpacing supply pushed vacancy rates lower, while rent escalation supported healthy income generation across the sector.

Rajashree Murkute, Senior Director at CareEdge Ratings, said: 'While the geopolitical situation in West Asia remains a key monitorable, the near-term impact on the Indian real estate sector is expected to remain limited. Healthy demand, and stable leasing activity across commercial real estate should support the sector's overall performance.'

GCCs and Flex Spaces Drive Demand

Global Capability Centres (GCCs) emerged as the primary growth engine, contributing 48% of total transactions in the period — up from 44% a year earlier. Bengaluru recorded the highest leasing volume among Indian cities. Grade A buildings dominated deal activity, reflecting occupiers' preference for quality assets.

Flex space operators added further momentum, with India's total flex stock reaching approximately 100 million sq. ft. in 2026. Despite recent rent appreciation, Indian office space remains significantly cheaper than comparable global hubs, sustaining the country's appeal to international occupiers.

Occupancy and Outlook

Average occupancy across India's listed office REITs has climbed steadily — from roughly 84% in FY24 to 89% in FY25, reaching approximately 92% in FY26. Stable cash flows and prudent leverage are expected to reinforce the sector's credit profile going forward.

The CareEdge report added: 'The continued GCC expansion and India's growing role in global supply chains are expected to support a positive medium-term outlook despite ongoing global uncertainty.' With sectoral fundamentals intact and a large eligibility pipeline ahead, India's REIT market appears positioned for its next leg of institutional growth.

Point of View

But the real story is structural. Indian REITs have quietly delivered 20% rental income CAGR while keeping leverage below 30% of GAV, a discipline that most comparable Asian markets have struggled to maintain. The GCC-led demand surge is genuine, but it also means the sector is increasingly concentrated in a single occupier category. If global tech and financial services firms pull back on India headcount — as they have in cycles past — the 92% occupancy story could soften quickly. The flex space buffer helps, but at 100 million sq. ft. it too is exposed to the same corporate demand cycle. The $50 billion asset value target is achievable, but only if the pipeline converts to listed vehicles rather than staying locked in private hands.
NationPress
20 Aug 2026

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the REIT-eligible office space pipeline in India by 2031?
According to a CareEdge Ratings report, over 150 million sq. ft. of office space is expected to become REIT-eligible by CY2031. This pipeline could raise the sector's total asset value from approximately $33 billion to more than $50 billion.
How large is India's listed REIT sector currently?
As of May 2026, India has six listed REITs with a combined Gross Asset Value of nearly ₹3.13 lakh crore and a market capitalisation exceeding ₹2 lakh crore. Combined debt stands at ₹68,000 crore, kept in check by rental income growing at nearly 20% CAGR.
Why has Indian office leasing remained strong despite geopolitical uncertainty?
Office leasing transactions reached a record 29.9 million sq. ft. in Q1 2026, up 6% year-on-year, driven by GCC expansion and flex space growth. CareEdge Ratings notes that Indian offices remain significantly cheaper than global hubs, sustaining occupier interest.
What role are GCCs playing in India's REIT growth?
Global Capability Centres contributed 48% of total office leasing transactions in the latest period, up from 44% a year earlier, making them the single largest demand driver. Bengaluru recorded the highest GCC leasing volume among Indian cities.
What is the occupancy trend for India's listed office REITs?
Average occupancy across India's listed office REITs has risen steadily from roughly 84% in FY24 to 89% in FY25, reaching approximately 92% in FY26, reflecting tightening supply and sustained demand.
Nation Press
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