Sensex, Nifty open flat as oil price risks offset domestic strength
Synopsis
Key Takeaways
Sensex and Nifty opened nearly unchanged on Thursday, 13 August, as investors weighed resilient domestic macroeconomic signals against persistent concerns over elevated crude oil prices. The BSE Sensex edged 145.56 points or 0.19% higher to 78,111.91, while the Nifty50 slipped a marginal 4.35 points or 0.02% to 24,431.60, reflecting a market caught between competing forces.
Sector Snapshot
The session opened with a clear split across sectors. Nifty Media led gains, rising 0.61%, followed by Nifty Auto, which advanced 0.39%. Rate-sensitive and heavyweight counters bore the brunt of selling pressure — Nifty Realty declined 0.81%, Nifty IT fell 0.69%, and Nifty PSU Bank, Oil & Gas, and Private Bank indices shed up to 0.61%.
What Market Experts Said
According to market experts, equities are likely to remain in a consolidation phase in the near term. High-frequency indicators — including GST collections, freight movement, automobile sales, and credit growth — continue to signal economic resilience and could support earnings growth in the quarters ahead. Sustained inflows from domestic institutional investors have also provided a floor to the market.
Technical analysts noted that Wednesday's rebound from the 20-day moving average and the formation of a hammer candlestick pattern have improved the near-term outlook. 'The recent price action has opened the possibility of a move towards the 24,540–24,666 zone initially, followed by 24,850–25,100. However, some consolidation may emerge near 24,490,' analysts noted.
Crude Oil Eases, But Risk Lingers
Brent crude slipped more than 1% to $87.75 a barrel, while US West Texas Intermediate (WTI) fell 1.64% to $81.90 per barrel. The dip offered some relief on inflationary pressures and input costs, though experts cautioned that the trajectory of oil prices remains a key risk variable for Indian equities in the near term. India imports a significant share of its crude requirements, making the market structurally sensitive to global oil moves.
What to Watch
Markets will track further crude oil data, domestic inflation prints, and any signals from global central banks. A sustained consolidation above the 24,490 support level could set the stage for a move toward the 25,000 zone, according to technical analysts. Any sharp reversal in oil prices or a shift in domestic institutional flows would alter that calculus.