Global Sea Surface Temperatures Reach Near-Record Highs in March Amid Rising El Nino Chances
Synopsis
Key Takeaways
Brussels, April 10 (NationPress) In March, global sea surface temperatures surged to their second-highest recorded levels, nearing the peaks observed during the previous El Nino event, according to the European Union's (EU) climate monitoring agency. This trend indicates that the climate could be heading into a new warming phase later this year.
The average sea surface temperature across the extra-polar oceans, which extends from 60 degrees south to 60 degrees north, hit 20.97 degrees Celsius in March. This figure marks the second-highest temperature recorded for that month, trailing only behind March 2024 during the last El Nino episode, as reported by Xinhua news agency citing the EU-funded Copernicus Climate Change Service (C3S).
Throughout March, daily sea surface temperatures consistently increased, approaching the record levels seen in 2024.
Copernicus also noted that numerous climate centers are predicting a shift from neutral conditions to El Nino by the latter half of 2026. This weather pattern, characterized by warming surface waters in the equatorial Pacific, has the potential to elevate global temperatures and exacerbate extreme weather events in various regions.
Moreover, March 2026 was recorded as the world's fourth-warmest March, with the global average surface air temperature reaching 1.48 degrees Celsius above pre-industrial levels (1850-1900), according to C3S.
The month was noteworthy for Europe, which experienced its second-warmest March on record, with much of the continent facing drier-than-average conditions after a colder-than-usual February that had been unusually wet.
Severe heat and dry weather were also reported in other regions, including an early and unprecedented heatwave affecting parts of the United States and Mexico. In the Arctic, the annual maximum sea ice extent and the average for March both hit record lows.
Carlo Buontempo, director of C3S at the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts, remarked, "The data for March 2026 tells a troubling story. Each statistic is compelling on its own; together, they depict a climate system under increasing and accelerating stress."