Bengal polls 2026: BJP leads all seats in 4 districts, TMC draws blank
Synopsis
Early trends from West Bengal's 2026 Assembly election count show BJP leading in all 23 seats across four districts — Jhargram, Alipurduar, Jalpaiguri, and West Burdwan — with TMC yet to lead in a single constituency in these areas. The pattern spans tribal belts, tea garden regions, and the state's industrial heartland, echoing PM Modi's pre-poll prediction.
Key Takeaways
As of 10:30 am on 4 May 2026 , BJP is leading in all constituencies across four districts of West Bengal, with TMC not leading in any.
The four districts are Jhargram (4 seats), Alipurduar (5 seats), Jalpaiguri (7 seats), and West Burdwan (7 seats) — totalling 23 constituencies .
Jhargram is part of the tribal-dominated Jangalmahal belt, a former CPI(M) stronghold that turned TMC after 2011 .
Alipurduar and Jalpaiguri are tea garden districts where tribal and Rajbangshi voters are key electoral factors.
Sitting BJP MLA Agnimitra Paul is reportedly leading comfortably in Asansol (Dakshin) .
PM Modi had predicted during campaign rallies that TMC would fail to open its account in several districts.
Early vote-count trends for the West Bengal Assembly elections 2026 show Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) candidates leading in every constituency across four districts — Alipurduar, Jalpaiguri, Jhargram, and West Burdwan — with the All India Trinamool Congress (TMC) yet to lead in a single seat in these areas as of 10:30 am IST on 4 May 2026. The trends, covering 293 Assembly seats, signal a significant BJP push in both North and South Bengal.
Jhargram: Tribal Heartland Shifts Again
All four Assembly constituencies in Jhargram district — Nayagram, Gopiballavpur, Jhargram, and Binpur (ST) — are showing BJP candidates in the lead, according to trends as of 10:30 am. Jhargram is part of the tribal-dominated Jangalmahal region, which was once a Communist Party of India (Marxist) [CPI(M)] stronghold before swinging to TMC after 2011. Notably, during the final years of Left Front rule, the broader Jharkhand area had also emerged as a significant Maoist belt, making the region's political volatility a recurring theme.
North Bengal Tea Belt: Alipurduar and Jalpaiguri
In Alipurduar district, BJP candidates are leading across all five constituencies — Kumargram (ST), Kalchini (ST), Alipurduar, Falakata (SC), and Madarihat (ST). In neighbouring Jalpaiguri district, the BJP is ahead in all seven seats: Dhupguri (SC), Maynaguri (SC), Jalpaiguri (SC), Rajganj (SC), Dabgram-Phulbari, Mal (ST), and Nagrakata (ST). Both districts lie in the Terai and Dooars region, a tea garden belt where tribal and Rajbangshi voters have historically been decisive electoral factors.
West Burdwan: Industrial Belt Leans BJP
In West Burdwan district — the state's coal-mining and steel corridor — BJP candidates are leading in all seven constituencies: Pandabeswar, Durgapur (Purba), Durgapur (Paschim), Raniganj, Jamuria, Asansol (Dakshin), and Asansol (Uttar). In Asansol (Dakshin), sitting BJP legislator and fashion designer-turned-politician Agnimitra Paul is reportedly leading comfortably, according to early trends.
Modi's Forecast and What the Trends Suggest
Prior to the two-phase elections held on 23 April and 29 April 2026, Prime Minister Narendra Modi, during successive campaign rallies, had predicted that TMC would fail to open its account in several districts of West Bengal. Early trends across these 23 constituencies in four districts appear to align with that projection, though final results are yet to be declared. This comes amid a broader BJP push to expand its footprint in a state where TMC has held power since 2011, making the eventual seat tally a closely watched outcome.
Point of View
The tea garden Terai-Dooars belt, and the industrial West Burdwan corridor — is not a coincidence of terrain but a signal of a multi-front squeeze. TMC's 2011 rise was built on consolidating the anti-Left vote; these trends suggest that consolidation is fracturing along caste, tribal, and labour lines simultaneously. Whether these trends hold through the final count will determine if 2026 marks a structural realignment or a temporary anti-incumbency surge in pockets the BJP has been cultivating since 2019.
NationPress
5 Aug 2026
Frequently Asked Questions
Which four districts in West Bengal show no TMC lead in Bengal polls 2026?
As of 10:30 am on 4 May 2026, TMC candidates are not leading in any constituency in Alipurduar, Jalpaiguri, Jhargram, and West Burdwan districts. BJP candidates are ahead in all 23 Assembly seats across these four districts.
How many seats are at stake in these four districts?
There are 23 Assembly seats across the four districts — 4 in Jhargram, 5 in Alipurduar, 7 in Jalpaiguri, and 7 in West Burdwan. BJP is leading in all 23 as per early trends.
Why is Jhargram politically significant in West Bengal?
Jhargram is part of the tribal-dominated Jangalmahal region, which was a CPI(M) stronghold before swinging to TMC after 2011. The area also had a significant Maoist presence during the final years of Left Front rule, making it a historically volatile but strategically important belt.
Who is Agnimitra Paul and why is she in focus?
Agnimitra Paul is a sitting BJP legislator and fashion designer-turned-politician contesting from Asansol (Dakshin) in West Burdwan district. Early trends show her leading comfortably in the constituency.
What had PM Modi predicted about TMC's performance in West Bengal 2026?
During campaign rallies ahead of the two-phase elections on 23 April and 29 April 2026, PM Narendra Modi had forecast that TMC would fail to open its account in several districts of West Bengal. Early trends from four districts appear consistent with that prediction.
