Nagaon Lok Sabha bypoll: BJP's Devasish Sharma confident of winning on October 6
Synopsis
Key Takeaways
Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) candidate Devasish Sharma has expressed strong confidence in securing victory in the Nagaon Lok Sabha by-election, scheduled for 6 October 2026, asserting that his party would draw substantial support even from minority-dominated areas in Assam. The bypoll, with vote counting set for 9 October, is shaping up as one of the most politically consequential contests in the state this year.
Sharma's Campaign Pitch
Speaking as campaigning intensified across the constituency, Sharma said he was 'absolutely confident' about the BJP's prospects and extended good wishes to candidates of rival parties. He thanked Assam Chief Minister Himanta Biswa Sarma, the state BJP president, Cabinet ministers, and MLAs for their support during the election build-up.
Sharma's core campaign message centres on development over what he described as 'certain sentimental values' that, in his view, may not deliver long-term public welfare. 'I am sure all the people in the minority areas are also looking for development,' he said, expressing confidence that the BJP government could fulfil those aspirations.
Why Nagaon Matters
The seat carries considerable weight. Congress won the Nagaon constituency in both the 2019 and 2024 general elections, making it a traditional stronghold for the party in central Assam. The seat fell vacant after sitting MP Pradyut Bordoloi resigned and subsequently joined the BJP before contesting the Dispur Assembly constituency — a sequence that has added an unusual political dimension to the bypoll.
For the BJP, a win here would signal that its organisational reach is expanding into Congress territory in Assam. For Congress, retaining the seat would serve as evidence that its support base in central Assam remains durable despite the defection of its former MP.
A Multi-Party Contest
The BJP is not the only party projecting confidence. All India United Democratic Front (AIUDF) chief Badruddin Ajmal has also publicly declared his optimism about winning the seat, underlining the competitive nature of the contest. The BJP, Congress, AIUDF, and other political forces are all working to consolidate their respective voter bases ahead of polling day.
Notably, the BJP's outreach to minority-dominated pockets — traditionally not among the party's strongest areas — is a deliberate strategic move, reflecting the party's ambition to broaden its coalition in Assam beyond its existing base.
What the Result Could Signal
Political analysts are watching the 6 October verdict as an early barometer of Assam's electoral mood. With both major national parties treating Nagaon as a bellwether, the outcome could shape narratives heading into future state and national electoral cycles. The BJP's ability to cut into minority vote share, and Congress's ability to hold its traditional constituency despite losing its sitting MP to a rival party, will both be under scrutiny when results are declared on 9 October.