Why Did Electricity Demand Surge in July?

Synopsis
Key Takeaways
- 2.4% increase in electricity demand in July compared to last year.
- Industrial activity has been a key driver of this rise.
- Average market clearing price dropped by 23% year-on-year.
- Hydropower generation increased by 36% due to higher rainfall.
- Coal's contribution to power output decreased to 63%.
New Delhi, Aug 12 (NationPress) India's electricity demand saw an increase of 2.4 percent in July, reaching a total of 154 billion units (BUs), compared to 150 BUs in the same month last year, largely propelled by robust industrial activity, as reported on Monday.
This uptick in demand stands in stark contrast to the dips recorded in May and June, which experienced year-on-year declines of 4.8 percent and 2.3 percent, respectively, according to insights from Crisil Intelligence.
In July, the average market clearing price (MCP) in the real-time market (RTM) decreased by 23 percent year-on-year to Rs 3.83 per unit, suggesting an adequate supply amidst lower electricity demand. The gap between RTM and DAM (day-ahead market) volumes shrank to 401 million units (MU) in July, down from an average of 2,529 MU from June 2020 to July 2025.
Although thermal power generation saw a year-on-year decline this July, output from key clean energy sources, such as hydro and renewable energy, increased significantly. The rise in rainfall led to a 36 percent year-on-year boost in hydropower generation, while renewable energy output rose by 7.2 percent, the report indicated.
As a result, coal comprised 63 percent of the overall power generation, down from 66 percent a year prior, underscoring the fuel's flexibility in response to demand fluctuations. By the end of July, coal inventory was at 18 days, compared to 21 days in May and June, with thermal power plants holding 54 million tonnes (MT) of coal stock.
Crisil Intelligence projects a 2.5 to 3.5 percent year-on-year growth in electricity demand for this fiscal year, totaling around 1,745 BU, a moderation from the 4.2 percent growth of the previous fiscal year.
The IMD anticipates another productive southwest monsoon season, which is expected to lower ambient temperatures and consequently reduce electricity demand.
–IANS
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