India-Italy ties enter demanding new phase amid EU trade deal push
Synopsis
Key Takeaways
India and Italy are entering a more demanding phase of their bilateral relationship, according to a report by Decode39, even as Brussels accelerates the signature of a long-negotiated trade agreement between India and the European Union (EU). The shift comes as the two nations now operate under a Special Strategic Partnership framework, with a structured action plan running through 2029 and a stated trade target of €20 billion.
Track 1.5 Dialogue Marks a New Chapter
The Guarini Institute for Public Affairs at John Cabot University (JCU) in Rome recently hosted the first-ever Italy–India Track 1.5 Dialogue — a semi-official forum bringing together government-adjacent voices and policy analysts. India's Ambassador to Italy, Vani Rao, attended the event's public segment. Discussions were held under the Chatham House Rule, focusing on how the relationship has evolved and what remains to be done ahead of the 80th anniversary of diplomatic ties in 2027.
The dialogue format itself signals a maturation in the relationship — Track 1.5 exercises are typically reserved for partnerships where governments want candid, structured analysis beyond formal diplomatic channels.
Economic Potential Outpaces Infrastructure
A central finding of the Decode39 report is that the economic relationship between India and Italy carries potential that its current institutional infrastructure cannot yet fully support. Financial institutions have been identified as having a greater role to play in facilitating commerce, while non-tariff barriers and regulatory divergence continue to obstruct deeper integration.
India and Italy established a Strategic Partnership in 2023, adopted a Joint Strategic Action Plan for 2025–2029 in 2024, and upgraded to a Special Strategic Partnership during Prime Minister Narendra Modi's visit to Italy in May 2026. A Foreign Ministers-led mechanism has since been set up to monitor implementation of the Action Plan.
Defence and Maritime Cooperation Deepening
Defence ties have also evolved substantially, now encompassing personnel exchanges, procurement, research and development, and industrial partnerships, in addition to naval visits and joint training activities. Geographically, India and Italy sit on opposite ends of a maritime corridor connecting the Indo-Pacific, the Middle East, and Europe — making the protection of those sea routes a shared economic and security interest.
The India–Middle East–Europe Economic Corridor (IMEC) is central to this alignment. For Italy, IMEC bridges its growing Indo-Pacific engagement with its traditional Mediterranean projection. For India, the corridor offers another channel into European markets through the Gulf.
Modi and Meloni Exchange Diplomatic Signals
The personal rapport between the two leaders has reinforced the institutional momentum. On 17 September, Italian Prime Minister Giorgia Meloni wished PM Modi on his 76th birthday, saying both nations continue to strengthen their 'deep bond of friendship' and build a future of cooperation and prosperity together. Modi thanked Meloni for her warm wishes and said he looks forward to close bilateral cooperation.
Earlier this month, PM Modi also congratulated Meloni on becoming the longest-serving Prime Minister in Italy's postwar history. Meloni, in response, said ties between the two nations are 'right now stronger than ever before,' adding that the Special Strategic Partnership 'is the recognition of the importance of this bond and of the will to unite the expertise of our Nations to create new opportunities for growth.'
What Comes Next
The Guarini Institute has signalled plans to scale up the Track 1.5 initiative with a larger event at John Cabot University in 2026. Meanwhile, the 2027 anniversary year — which also marks a year dedicated to cultural tourism between the two nations — is expected to provide a further platform to broaden the partnership's foundations.
As Emanuele Rossi wrote in the Decode39 report, the challenge now is to 'turn this architecture into results' — moving beyond commemorations and affirmations to define what, in practice, a Special Strategic Partnership can actually deliver.