Will India’s GDP Grow by 6.5% in 2025 and 6.7% in 2026?

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Will India’s GDP Grow by 6.5% in 2025 and 6.7% in 2026?

Synopsis

India's economic outlook is promising with the ADB forecasting a GDP growth of 6.5% in 2025 and 6.7% in 2026. Amid strong domestic demand and easing monetary policies, the country is set to maintain its position as a leading global economy. Find out how inflation rates are also expected to behave in the coming years.

Key Takeaways

  • India's GDP is expected to grow by 6.5% in 2025.
  • Projected growth for 2026 is 6.7%.
  • Inflation is predicted to be 3.8% this year.
  • India remains the fastest-growing major economy globally.
  • Economic risks include trade tensions and geopolitical issues.

New Delhi, July 23 (NationPress) The Asian Development Bank (ADB) has announced that India's GDP is expected to increase by 6.5 percent in 2025 and 6.7 percent in 2026. This growth is fueled by strong domestic demand, favorable monsoon conditions, and monetary easing strategies implemented in the nation.

Regarding inflation, the forecast indicates 3.8 percent inflation for this year, with a slight rise to 4.0 percent in 2026—remaining well within the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) projections, as stated by ADB.

India's CPI inflation has notably decreased to 2.1 percent in June, marking the lowest rate in 77 months, primarily due to a decline in food inflation.

The outlook for India's real GDP growth is projected to fall between 6.4-6.7 percent for this fiscal year, further affirming the country’s status as the fastest-growing major economy globally, according to the Confederation of Indian Industry (CII).

Meanwhile, the ADB has revised its growth forecasts for developing economies in Asia and the Pacific for both this year and the next, attributing these changes to anticipated declines in exports caused by increasing US tariffs and global trade uncertainties, alongside weakening domestic demand.

The ADB predicts a growth rate of 4.7 percent for the region's economies this year, reflecting a 0.2 percentage point decrease from earlier forecasts. The projection for the following year has also been adjusted downward to 4.6 percent.

Additional risks affecting the region include potential escalation of US tariffs and ongoing trade tensions, alongside geopolitical conflicts that may disrupt global supply chains and raise energy prices. Furthermore, a downturn in the property market in the People’s Republic of China (PRC) could pose additional challenges.

“The Asia and Pacific regions have managed to navigate a challenging external environment this year; however, the economic outlook has diminished amidst growing risks and uncertainties,” remarked ADB Chief Economist Albert Park.

“It is crucial for economies in this region to bolster their fundamentals and advocate for open trade and regional integration to foster investment, employment, and growth,” Park added.

Growth expectations for the PRC, the region's largest economy, remain at 4.7 percent this year and 4.3 percent next year. Economies in Southeast Asia are projected to face the greatest impact from deteriorating trade conditions and uncertainty, with ADB estimating these economies will grow by 4.2 percent this year and 4.3 percent next year, a reduction of about half a percentage point from previous forecasts.

Point of View

India's economic growth forecast reflects resilience and potential. The ADB's optimistic outlook underscores the importance of domestic demand and effective monetary policies. However, vigilance is needed regarding external risks and inflation. The nation must continue to strengthen its economic fundamentals to navigate uncertainties.
NationPress
01/11/2025

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the projected GDP growth for India in 2025?
The projected GDP growth for India in 2025 is 6.5 percent, according to the Asian Development Bank.
What factors are contributing to India's GDP growth?
India's GDP growth is driven by strong domestic demand, normal monsoon conditions, and monetary easing policies.
What is the expected inflation rate in India for 2026?
The expected inflation rate in India for 2026 is 4.0 percent.
How does India's GDP growth compare to other economies?
India is projected to remain the fastest-growing major economy in the world.
What are the risks affecting economic growth in the Asia-Pacific region?
Risks include escalating US tariffs, trade tensions, geopolitical conflicts, and a downturn in the property market in China.
Nation Press