Is Kharif Sowing Set to Surge by 4%? Agriculture GVA May Rise by 4.5%: A Comprehensive Report
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Synopsis
Discover the latest projections for India's agricultural sector as kharif sowing shows promising growth amid favorable monsoon conditions. With GVA in agriculture expected to rise by 4.5% in Q1 FY26, find out what this means for the economy and food production.
Key Takeaways
- 4.5% growth in agricultural GVA projected for Q1 FY26.
- 76% of normal sown area completed for kharif crops.
- Rice sowing increased by 13.4% year-on-year.
- Favorable monsoon conditions support crop growth.
- Overall GVA growth expected at 3.5-4% in FY2026.
New Delhi, Aug 2 (NationPress) According to a recent report, the Gross Value Added (GVA) in the agricultural sector is anticipated to rise by 4.5 percent in the first quarter of FY26, with kharif sowing expected to surpass last year's figures by 4 percent, thanks to favorable monsoon conditions.
With the support of a beneficial monsoon, kharif sowing has been accomplished on 76 percent of the standard sown area, marking a 4 percent increase compared to last year as of July, as reported by the credit rating agency ICRA.
The increase in the sown area is primarily driven by rice, which saw a 13.4 percent year-on-year rise, as well as pulses, which grew by 3.5 percent, especially moong. Coarse cereals, particularly maize, also contributed to a 3.7 percent rise, with sowing reaching 108 percent of the normal area due to heightened demand for biofuels.
The report projects that agricultural GVA will grow by 4.5 percent in Q1 FY26 and between 3.5-4 percent for FY26, driven by robust output growth in rabi and most summer crops during AY2024-25.
Assuming a strong kharif output, the report anticipates that the GVA growth for agriculture, forestry, and fishing will be around 3.5-4 percent in FY2026.
Kharif crops, including rice, maize, bajra, jowar, soybean, cotton, and various pulses, are planted during the monsoon season, while summer crops like moong, urad, and several vegetables thrive from March to June.
The India Meteorological Department (IMD) predicts above-normal rainfall for August-September 2025, along with a neutral El Nino, which bodes well for kharif crop sowing.
In July 2025, all-India rainfall reached 105 percent of the Long Period Average (LPA), though it fell short of the IMD's forecast. Based on similar predictions for August to September 2025, total rainfall for the entire season is expected to exceed 106 percent of LPA.
Point of View
I believe that the promising projections for agricultural growth are critical for bolstering India's economy. The anticipated increase in kharif sowing reflects resilience and adaptability in our agricultural practices, which are vital for food security and rural livelihoods.
NationPress
05/10/2025
Frequently Asked Questions
What is Gross Value Added (GVA) in agriculture?
Gross Value Added (GVA) in agriculture measures the economic output of the agricultural sector, accounting for the value of all goods and services produced.
What are kharif crops?
Kharif crops are those sown during the monsoon season, typically including rice, maize, bajra, and various pulses.
How is the monsoon impacting agricultural growth?
Favorable monsoon conditions lead to increased sowing and better crop yields, positively affecting agricultural GVA and food production.
What is the significance of the projected agricultural GVA growth?
The projected growth in agricultural GVA indicates a robust agricultural sector, contributing to economic stability and rural development.
What factors influence kharif sowing?
Key factors include rainfall patterns, soil conditions, and market demand for various crops.
