ECI schedules West Bengal Rajya Sabha bypolls for July 24, results same day
Synopsis
Key Takeaways
The Election Commission of India (ECI) on Monday, 6 July announced that by-elections to three vacant Rajya Sabha seats from West Bengal will be conducted on July 24, with votes counted and results declared on the same day. The vacancies were triggered by the resignations of three All India Trinamool Congress (TMC) members of Parliament following the party's crushing defeat in the West Bengal assembly elections earlier this year.
Key Dates in the Election Schedule
As per the official notification, the election notice will be issued on July 7. Candidates must file their nominations by July 14, with scrutiny scheduled for July 15. The last date for withdrawal of nominations is July 17. Polling, if required, will be held between 9 am and 4 pm on July 24, and the entire electoral process is to be completed by July 27.
Why the Seats Fell Vacant
The three seats were vacated after Sukhendu Sekhar Roy, Sushmita Dev, and Prakash Chik Baraik resigned from the Rajya Sabha in quick succession following the West Bengal poll results. Roy resigned first on June 8, Dev followed on June 10, and Baraik resigned on June 11.
Their departures were not merely procedural. Roy had been publicly critical of the Mamata Banerjee-led administration well before the assembly elections, particularly over the alleged rape and murder of a junior doctor at the state-run R.G. Kar Medical College and Hospital in Kolkata in August 2024. He was subsequently sidelined within the party before his resignation. After quitting, Roy reportedly met with a group of 20 rebel TMC Lok Sabha members who had joined the Nationalist Citizens Party of India (NCPI), a Tripura-based outfit described as virtually non-existent.
Baraik, after resigning, reportedly praised Chief Minister Subhendu Adhikari, while Dev — an Assam-based politician — met Assam Chief Minister Himanta Biswa Sarma in Delhi after her exit from the party.
BJP Favoured to Win All Three Seats
Based on the current numerical strength in the West Bengal Legislative Assembly, the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) is widely expected to win all three Rajya Sabha seats. The BJP currently holds 208 MLAs in the 294-seat assembly. To defeat a BJP nominee, an opposition candidate would need to secure at least 70 votes.
The TMC's position is complicated by a deep internal split. While the party officially claims 80 legislators, approximately 60 of them reportedly belong to a 'rebel but majority' faction led by expelled legislator Ritabrata Banerjee. The remaining 20 are said to be aligned with the 'original but minority' faction that continues to support Mamata Banerjee and her nephew Abhishek Banerjee.
Broader Political Context
This comes amid a period of significant turbulence for the TMC, which has seen a wave of defections and internal revolts since the assembly election results. The Rajya Sabha bypolls will serve as an early institutional test of the BJP's new dominance in West Bengal's legislative arithmetic. How the fractured TMC camp votes — or abstains — could offer the first formal signal of where rebel legislators truly stand.