Gold, silver flat on MCX as dollar, US yields rise before Fed call
Synopsis
Key Takeaways
Gold and silver prices hovered in a narrow range on the Multi Commodity Exchange (MCX) on Tuesday, 15 September, as a firming US dollar and elevated bond yields kept bullion under pressure ahead of the US Federal Reserve's crucial monetary policy decision.
Where Prices Stood
Gold futures (October contract) were trading at ₹1,52,570 per 10 grams, marginally higher by 0.01% or ₹18. During the session, the yellow metal climbed as much as 0.27% or ₹412 to touch an intraday high of ₹1,53,000, before retreating to an intraday low of ₹1,52,424, a dip of 0.10% or ₹164.
Silver futures (December contract) were trading at ₹2,31,750 per kg, down 0.40% or ₹940. The white metal touched an intraday high of ₹2,32,546, up 0.06% or ₹144, and an intraday low of ₹2,31,612, a decline of ₹1,078 or 0.46%.
Technical Outlook for Gold
Commodity experts noted that the relative strength index (RSI) for gold was near 45, below the neutral 50 level, signalling soft momentum both domestically and in international markets. According to analysts, immediate resistance is placed at ₹1,54,000–₹1,54,700; a sustained break above that zone could target the next resistance band at ₹1,56,300–₹1,57,000.
On the downside, gold has immediate support at ₹1,50,700–₹1,50,000, followed by a deeper support zone at ₹1,48,000–₹1,47,300. Experts said the bias remains cautious below ₹1,54,000, and a fall below ₹1,50,000 could drag prices towards ₹1,48,000.
Technical Outlook for Silver
Silver's RSI near 46, also below the midline, indicated that the metal was relatively weaker than gold in the domestic market, according to commodity analysts. Immediate resistance for MCX silver is placed at ₹2,33,000–₹2,34,000, with a break above that range potentially opening a move towards ₹2,39,000–₹2,40,000.
Immediate support for silver is seen at ₹2,30,000–₹2,29,000, followed by a broader support zone at ₹2,26,000–₹2,25,000.
What Is Weighing on Bullion
The dual headwind of a rising dollar and elevated US Treasury yields has kept a lid on precious metal prices. The dollar index rose 0.20%, while the yield on the benchmark 10-year US Treasury briefly crossed 5% — its highest level since October 2023. A stronger dollar makes dollar-denominated commodities like gold more expensive for holders of other currencies, dampening demand, while higher yields raise the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding assets such as bullion.
This comes amid heightened global anticipation around the Federal Reserve's policy stance. Markets are closely watching whether the Fed signals a prolonged pause, which could reinforce the dollar's strength and keep pressure on gold in the near term.