Is the ISI Planning to Retire the TRF to Shield Pakistan from the FATF Grey List Amid CPEC 2.0 Pressures?

Synopsis
Key Takeaways
- Indian agencies have gathered extensive intelligence on the TRF.
- The ISI is considering disbanding the TRF to avoid FATF scrutiny.
- A new terror group may emerge to replace the TRF.
- China's involvement in Pakistan is crucial amid CPEC 2.0.
- The funding trails of the TRF are under investigation by the NIA.
New Delhi, Sep 24 (NationPress) With an abundance of intelligence gathered by Indian agencies regarding The Resistance Front (TRF), the ISI is contemplating disbanding the group and establishing a new faction to conduct operations in Jammu and Kashmir.
Indian intelligence reports indicate that the Intelligence Bureau, National Investigation Agency (NIA), and Jammu and Kashmir Police have successfully compiled extensive information on the TRF, causing embarrassment for the ISI. It had not anticipated such rapid data collection, particularly concerning financial connections.
Today's intelligence-gathering landscape has evolved significantly. Additionally, the Modi administration's commitment to a hardline stance against terrorism has enhanced the operational capabilities of these agencies, allowing for efficient coordination and swift information retrieval.
In the aftermath of the Pahalgam attack, the TRF claimed responsibility, but its hasty retraction hints at the ISI's desire to eliminate any trace of the group.
Since that incident, the NIA has uncovered substantial evidence related to the outfit's financial activities, including over 400 call records to Malaysia and the Gulf region. These communications were linked to the funding of the group, primarily in the form of donations.
A Malaysian national, Yasir Hayat, is reportedly under investigation for allegedly contributing Rs 9 lakh to the group. Following the Pahalgam attack, there has been a notable absence of communication regarding the TRF, which appears to be a deliberate strategy by the ISI to phase the group out.
Nevertheless, Indian agencies assert that even if the ISI disbands this faction, a new entity will likely emerge to oversee operations in Jammu and Kashmir. The NIA continues to probe the broader conspiracy surrounding the Pahalgam attack, focusing primarily on its funding sources. This effort is crucial in building a case for the Financial Action Task Force (FATF) to potentially place Pakistan on the Grey List.
Pakistan currently cannot afford to be listed by the FATF, given its numerous obligations to both China and the United States. A significant concern is China, which has urged Pakistan to secure funding for the China-Pakistan Economic Corridor Project 2.0 (CPEC). The experience from CPEC 1, marred by attacks from groups like the BLA and Tehreek-e-Taliban Pakistan (TTP), has left China wary, as the Pakistan Army has struggled to control these factions, leading to substantial losses.
In light of the recent CPEC 2.0 agreement and a minerals deal with the United States, being placed on the FATF's Grey List is not a viable option. Neither the US nor China would favor a situation where Pakistan faces scrutiny for terror financing.
In recent years, Indian agencies have extracted extensive information related to The Resistance Front, a group that has been particularly active, with every lead pointing back to it.
The ISI's strategy to keep the TRF out of the spotlight or to retire it is further evident from the emergence of a new terror group that issued a press release on September 11, 2025.
“We, the Mountain Warriors of Kashmir (MWK), announce our presence on the battlefield. We will sacrifice our lives to oppose the occupation. This struggle will persist until we achieve Azadi,'” stated the press release.
This new group is being portrayed as a grassroots initiative, likely to engage in propaganda before assuming the role of the TRF.
Ultimately, while the new faction may have the same masterminds and players, it will pose a significant challenge for Indian agencies to investigate and build a case from the ground up.