Could LDF Allies Be Rethinking Their Future in Kerala?

Synopsis
Key Takeaways
- C.K. Janu's desire to join the UDF could trigger a political shift.
- The UDF has welcomed back former ally Kerala Congress (M).
- Discontent exists among smaller parties in the LDF.
- The Sabarimala controversy may impact the upcoming elections.
- Political realignments could reshape Kerala's future.
Thiruvananthapuram, Oct 14 (NationPress) Political dynamics in Kerala are heating up as tribal leader C.K. Janu, whose party currently stands independent of any major political alliances, has expressed her intention to join the Congress-led United Democratic Front (UDF). This development has sparked widespread speculation regarding the future of smaller allies within the ruling Left Democratic Front (LDF) as they prepare for two significant elections.
The UDF has reached out to its former ally Kerala Congress (M), with UDF Convenor and MP Adoor Prakash openly stating that they would be welcomed back with “open arms”.
Led by Jose K. Mani, the Kerala Congress (M) was a long-standing UDF partner before shifting allegiance to the LDF prior to the 2020 local body elections.
This switch provided the Left with a considerable advantage in the Kottayam district during the local body elections of 2020 and the Assembly elections of 2021.
However, Jose faced a setback in 2021 when he lost his father’s traditional seat, which had been held by the late K.M. Mani since 1967 without a loss.
Although Jose's party contested 12 seats and secured five, making it the third-largest ally in the Left coalition, there are reports that a faction within the party is advocating for a return to the UDF, coinciding with Prakash's invitation.
Discontent is also surfacing among smaller LDF partners, including the Rashtriya Janata Dal (RJD), led by media magnate M.V. Shreyams Kumar, who is showing signs of dissatisfaction.
Notably, the Kumars have a history of switching between rival political fronts to maximize their political advantage.
The ongoing Sabarimala gold plating controversy is believed to be a catalyst for this political churn, which has tarnished the reputation of the Communist Party of India (Marxist)-led Kerala government and undermined the prior discussions regarding a potential third term for Pinarayi Vijayan.
While C.K. Janu may not be a significant electoral player, her public interest in aligning with the UDF—reportedly with the approval of Congress General Secretary Priyanka Gandhi—could ignite a larger political realignment.
Whether this situation remains a minor shift or escalates into a significant wave of changing allegiances could greatly influence the political landscape in Kerala as it approaches the elections.