Is the Warning from Pakistan's Central Bank Chief a Sign that Time is Running Out?
Synopsis
Key Takeaways
- Pakistan's growth model is deemed unsustainable.
- Rising poverty levels are a critical concern.
- Unemployment has reached a 21-year high.
- Economic cycles are becoming shorter and weaker.
- Structural issues remain unaddressed amidst stabilisation efforts.
New Delhi, Dec 27 (NationPress) The Governor of the State Bank of Pakistan, Jameel Ahmad, has alerted that the nation’s growth framework is "unsustainable" for its 250 million populace. This caution arises amidst diminishing business cycles within the country, where each economic recovery appears to be weaker than its predecessor, according to a report released on Saturday.
The European Times report highlights that this statement comes at a critical juncture as Pakistan grapples with surging poverty levels, record unemployment, and a prolonged period of economic stabilisation that has adversely affected both households and enterprises.
"Pakistan may have been living on borrowed time. Now, its chief banker is saying the clock has all but run out," emphasized the report.
It outlines that Pakistan has found itself in a cycle of "corrections", each linked with overwhelming taxation, stringent energy tariffs, and significant cuts that primarily impact the average citizen.
"With every wave of stabilisation, the buffer for both households and industries diminishes, while the underlying issues necessitating stabilisation remain unresolved," the report elaborated.
The slowdown is characterized as a structural decline amid decades of economic stagnation. Growth has decreased from an average of approximately 3.9 percent over the last 30 years to a mere 3.4 percent in the past five years.
The economic model of Pakistan, which is founded on consumption surges, cyclical borrowing, and temporary stabilisation measures, falls short of meeting the requirements of its 250 million inhabitants.
The European media outlet pointed out that the narrative of apparent economic support recycles each year: "The country exhausts its reserves, inflation escalates, the currency falters, and the IMF is called for another rescue package. Stabilisation efforts ensue, growth plummets, poverty increases, and after the crisis subsides, the cycle repeats," it stated.
Unemployment has surged to a 21-year high of 7.1 percent, leaving millions struggling to secure employment in an economy that can no longer provide opportunities. Data from the World Bank indicates that poverty has risen to 44.7 percent within the nation, the report added.